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I have decided to go with the AF version and I hate to admit it...because of the sign up bonus when I applied . But since I love my card I will keep it like this and do not consider a downgrade. For me it is fine to pay the AF for my best card even though I could live with no AF one just as well.
I just got the AF version of Arrival and also went for it because of the sign up bonus. The AF is waived for the first year and figure I could always PC to something else down the road.
Keep in mind how much spending ability you will have after spending $30k a year with your PRG. That is the minimum required to get the 15k bonus points, without which paying the annual fee is probably not worth it. The CSP would require another $30-40k a year on top of that to justify its annual fee.