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Credit model score change rate

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SouthJamaica
Mega Contributor

Re: Credit model score change rate


@Thomas_Thumb wrote:

@SouthJamaica wrote:

@Revelate wrote:

@SouthJamaica wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

Odd question I hope someone can answer. Do all FICO score models change at the same rate?

In other words, if FICO 8 increased 11 points, would all other models increase?


No, not at all. My scores at this moment range from 696 to 838. They all behave differently.


On the same bureau?  Nuisance collection?


My lowest score is EX Bankcard 2.

 

My highest scores are EQ Bankcard 9 and TU Bankcard 8.

 

There are no negatives of any kind on any of the bureaus.

 

They all have basically the same data on this report except that:

EQ has 5 less accounts, failing to report 5 accounts which closed 6 months to a year ago, one of which is one of my oldest cards.

EQ is not reporting the one substantial balance that reported, a $2750 balance.

 

Since the one overriding negative thing about my profile is its newness (recent accounts, recent inquiries, etc), I can only conclude that the Bankcard 2 model brutally punishes recent credit acquisition behavior.

 

3B Report Data5/6/17  
 EQTUEX
AAOA (yrs, mos)2yrs3mos2yrs8mos2yrs8mos
Cards reporting4 of 297 of 297 of 29
Cards reporting %   
Inq under 12 mos5518
Revolving util %1%1%1%
Instalment bal/loan %6.40%6.40%6.40%
Scoring model   
FICO 9827817813
FICO 8785804783
FICO 04733******
FICO 04***753***
FICO 04******731
FICO 98******723
Vantage 3.0   
Auto 9833825822
Auto 8783828791
Auto 04729 ***
Auto 04***770***
Auto 98******741
Bankcard 9838824824
Bankcard 8803838818
Bankcard 04731******
Bankcard 04 ***755***
Bankcard 98*** 696

 

 PS My already limited value as a test case will probably be going away for awhile. Due to my appraisal of the macroeconomic situation, and my personal microeconomic factors, and without regard to FICO scores, I've decided that now was the time for me to do some real world transactions that will no doubt lower my scores. Basically I've decided to finally take advantage of the positive growth in my credit scores to take care of some real world things. It's all good but it will be using up some of my FICO capital. Needless to say if my adventure does happen to teach any FICO lessons, however embarrassing they may be, I will report back to my FICO masters Smiley Happy


SJ, Thanks for the data set.

 

Not really sure why your Fico 9 scores are higher than your Fico 8 scores (except TU industry enhanced) while my Fico 8 industry enhanced are higher than 9my Fico 9 enhanced. The only two things I can think of are:

1) The threshold for account critical mass is higher on Fico 9 than Fico 8

2) Fico 9 penalizes short AAoA less than does Fico 4 and much less than does Fico 04 & Fico 98.

 

I do have the impression that FICO 9 is more forgiving of the various 'newness' factors -- i.e. oldest account, youngest account, average age of accounts, recent inquiries, which are the big damper on my scores.

 

It kinda looks like the EX Fico 98 bankcard model is dinging your score much more for too many open accounts reporting a balance than do the other models.

 

Usually I have only 2 or 3 cards reporting a balance, & haven't noticed the scores being any different.

 

Yes, there is a factor for # accounts reporting balance a balance (as opposed to % reporting a balance).

 - Also looks like your closed car loan and open SSL with low B/L are helping your Fico 8 & Fico 9 scores but offer no help on Fico 04 and Fico 98.

 - Length of positive payment history on accounts carry more weight on the older models.

 - A short length for age of youngest account may be progressively more "harmful" as the models progress backward from Fico 9 => Fico 8 => Fico => 04 => Fico 98. [BTW - what is your age of youngest account? My guess is under 6 months age & possibly 3 months]

 

You give me too much credit. Almost every month my youngest account is 1 month old.


 


Total revolving limits 741200 (620700 reporting) FICO 8: EQ 703 TU 704 EX 691

Message 11 of 15
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Credit model score change rate


@SouthJamaica wrote:

@Revelate wrote:

@SouthJamaica wrote:

@Revelate wrote:

@SouthJamaica wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

Odd question I hope someone can answer. Do all FICO score models change at the same rate?

In other words, if FICO 8 increased 11 points, would all other models increase?


No, not at all. My scores at this moment range from 696 to 838. They all behave differently.


On the same bureau?  Nuisance collection?


My lowest score is EX Bankcard 2.

 

My highest scores are EQ Bankcard 9 and TU Bankcard 8.

 

There are no negatives of any kind on any of the bureaus.

 

They all have basically the same data on this report except that:

EQ has 5 less accounts, failing to report 5 accounts which closed 6 months to a year ago, one of which is one of my oldest cards.

EQ is not reporting the one substantial balance that reported, a $2750 balance.

 

Since the one overriding negative thing about my profile is its newness (recent accounts, recent inquiries, etc), I can only conclude that the Bankcard 2 model brutally punishes recent credit acquisition behavior.

 

3B Report Data5/6/17  
 EQTUEX
AAOA (yrs, mos)2yrs3mos2yrs8mos2yrs8mos
Cards reporting4 of 297 of 297 of 29
Cards reporting %   
Inq under 12 mos5518
Revolving util %1%1%1%
Instalment bal/loan %6.40%6.40%6.40%
Scoring model   
FICO9827817813
FICO8785804783
FICO5 Mortgage733******
FICO4 Mortgage***753***
FICO3******731
FICO2 Mortgage******723
Vantage 3.0   
Auto9833825822
Auto8783828791
Auto5729 ***
Auto4***770***
Auto2******741
Bankcard9838824824
Bankcard8803838818
Bankcard5731******
Bankcard4 ***755***
Bankcard2*** 696

 

 PS My already limited value as a test case will probably be going away for awhile. Due to my appraisal of the macroeconomic situation, and my personal microeconomic factors, and without regard to FICO scores, I've decided that now was the time for me to do some real world transactions that will no doubt lower my scores. Basically I've decided to finally take advantage of the positive growth in my credit scores to take care of some real world things. It's all good but it will be using up some of my FICO capital. Needless to say if my adventure does happen to teach any FICO lessons, however embarrassing they may be, I will report back to my FICO masters Smiley Happy


Haha SJ, Finances > FICO and there's zero point to building a credit score if you never use it... so enjoy your success!

 

Thanks Smiley Happy

 

Bankcard though, sort of a whatever set of scores though it's a bit disheartening to see how low your mortgage scores are in general;

 

I don't think you should draw any conclusions from, or be disheartened by, my mortgage scores; my record is absolutely bereft of any hint of a mortgage, past or present. I think the mortgage scores penalize me for not having a mortgage in there. It's not that I haven't had mortgages, FICO just doesn't remember the old ones and doesn't seem to be aware of my existing one.

 

I managed to break 720 on my own dirty file two years ago, and now I'm not certain if I can even reach that point when I'm clean on EX/EQ.

 

Now you know I don't like those words. Can't we way 'untouched' vs 'bruised', or something?

 

 On the flipside my TU Classic 04 which is arguably my dirtiest file (extra 30D late from 10/15, still hasn't deleted my 30/60D near 7 year lates, and my tax lien is still there too but zero scorable inquiries whereas both EX/EQ have too many to be ideal) is a 741 currently... somehow.

 

Unfortunately one bureau is not enough to UW a mortgage on, and there's no guaruntee as my 30/60 do drop off that my score will stay at that level, lost points as I got cleaner everywhere else on EX.  

 

You should write more letters, or engage someone to write them for you Smiley Happy


 


Mortgage scores = the scores used to underwrite a mortgage.

 

It's just FICO 04/98 classic scores, not the mortgage industry option score which to my knowledge isn't used anywhere to UW any mortgage application unless it's from a portfolio lender we haven't heard of yet.  There's no extra weight to having a mortgage, unlike FICO 8 AU which does appear to want you to have an open auto loan at least according to my reason codes on Transunion currently or at least a recent one, not entirely sure how that one is tracked.

 

It's not lost on me that even FICO doesn't publish the mortgage industry options in their myFICO product, which gives you an idea of how irrelevant they are heh.




        
Message 12 of 15
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Credit model score change rate

TT: my own scores tend to agree with the short history thing: FICO 9 < FICO 8/FICO 04/98 from penalty perspective; I'm not expecting that to change either once my negatives are gone.  

 

I'm not certain where the FICO 8/04/98 line is drawn though, for a while my trimerge scores were ahead of my FICO 8 ones until I prettied up my installment utilization... now though with ugly installment utilization my FICO 8 scores are still higher everywhere except TU and the only salient difference between EX/EQ/TU besides inquiry distribution is I have one extra account on EX/EQ which appears to be a CFA... not sure if that's enough for a ~30-40 point swing (well less than that as I have 0 inquiries on TU which I know is worth at least 7 points on EQ Beacon 5 on my file, currently 742 on TU, <700 on both EQ/EX FICO 04) but it appears to be substantial on the older models.

 

I don't have the CFA tag anywhere on FICO 8 / FICO 9, not certain if that's just a lower weight or not even counted.

 

Anyway the FICO 8 increases could've been due to age of oldest account / AAOA changing over the past couple of years, whereas EQ Beacon 5.0 has been Dixie Flatlined as far as that algorithm goes.




        
Message 13 of 15
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Credit model score change rate


@Revelate wrote:

Mortgage scores = the scores used to underwrite a mortgage.

 

It's just FICO 04/98 classic scores, not the mortgage industry option score which to my knowledge isn't used anywhere to UW any mortgage application unless it's from a portfolio lender we haven't heard of yet.  There's no extra weight to having a mortgage, unlike FICO 8 AU which does appear to want you to have an open auto loan at least according to my reason codes on Transunion currently or at least a recent one, not entirely sure how that one is tracked.

 

It's not lost on me that even FICO doesn't publish the mortgage industry options in their myFICO product, which gives you an idea of how irrelevant they are heh.


I know there is a Fico 8 mortgage score that gained virtually no traction. It reportedly has 17 scorecards. I did post a score distribution graph of EX data for the model compared to Classic Fico 8 and some links to articles.

 

http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Understanding-FICO-Scoring/The-many-flavors-of-FICO-Editions-version...

 

http://cashmoneylife.com/fico-8-mortgage-score-could-make-it-harder-to-get-approved/

 

Unrelated side notes:

1) EX Fico 04 is very stable - I only got it to drop from 830 one time (reported balances on 100% of open accounts => dropped to 811)

2) SJ appears to be addicted to opening new CC accounts and increasing aggregate CL. Will he slow down after going over $500,000 aggregate CL?

 

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 14 of 15
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Credit model score change rate


@Thomas_Thumb wrote:

@Revelate wrote:

Mortgage scores = the scores used to underwrite a mortgage.

 

It's just FICO 04/98 classic scores, not the mortgage industry option score which to my knowledge isn't used anywhere to UW any mortgage application unless it's from a portfolio lender we haven't heard of yet.  There's no extra weight to having a mortgage, unlike FICO 8 AU which does appear to want you to have an open auto loan at least according to my reason codes on Transunion currently or at least a recent one, not entirely sure how that one is tracked.

 

It's not lost on me that even FICO doesn't publish the mortgage industry options in their myFICO product, which gives you an idea of how irrelevant they are heh.


I know there is a Fico 8 mortgage score that gained virtually no traction. It reportedly has 17 scorecards. I did post a score distribution graph of EX data for the model compared to Classic Fico 8 and some links to articles.

 

http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Understanding-FICO-Scoring/The-many-flavors-of-FICO-Editions-version...

 

http://cashmoneylife.com/fico-8-mortgage-score-could-make-it-harder-to-get-approved/

 

Unrelated side notes:

1) EX Fico 04 is very stable - I only got it to drop from 830 one time (reported balances on 100% of open accounts => dropped to 811)

2) SJ appears to be addicted to opening new CC accounts and increasing aggregate CL. Will he slow down after going over $500,000 aggregate CL?

 


Yeah, the mortgage industry options were marketed in FICO 8 though they don't seem to be a sellable product at Experian anymore; and if one is being developed for FICO 9 it's not been released yet.  

 

There were a couple additional industry options that never quite caught on (IL, PF) in addition to the mortgage one, entirely possible FICO simply reduced the numbers of algorithms figuring the others weren't profitable.




        
Message 15 of 15
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