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They are just that - simulators. They don't take into account the CLDs that the CC companies are doing, and they assume so many different factors.
I think the simulators have been a little off for me, but not too far. I'm now over 700 - FINALLY - although I really expected to be here much sooner.
The MYFICO simulator is telling me I should see a 80 to 120 point increase just by paying down my utilization. I am currently at about 80%. I realize that utilization is about 30% of your score. I just thought this many points is too many. (over a 6 month period that is)
The score simulators are intentionally vaque.
If they permitted you to view the short-term affect of one single change in your CR, that wouild allow for reverse-engineering of their scoring algorithm. And that is just not gonna happen.