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SPeaking of doing what is necessary. Major banks have just been allowed to use more of their total liquidity to prop up the mortgage industry. This does not bode well as more is used to prop up the economy less will be used to increase the bottom line and there is only one place that can come from. The consumer, mortgage or not.
TheNewWorldMan wrote:
I'm not too worried...for now. Some tightening of credit standards and practices is inevitable, and necessary. The current loose-credit environment has allowed far too many people to spend far too much.
TPTB know that if credit tightens too much, the economy will crash. It's going to be a fine line for the Fed to walk: engineering a gradual, moderate tightening of credit without bringing the economy down. At this point, I'm betting against the Fed being able to manage this landing. I think the asset bubble in real estate (and, by extension, the fiat money flowing through the credit system in general) is simply too great. We will see sectors of the economy crash, we will see dislocations, we will likely see recession and could see depression.
If I was going to bet on exactly when TSHTF, I would say the first quarter of 2009. Bush and his cronies are going to do whatever they can to keep the economy from crashing while he is in office--open the discount window at the Fed, drop bales of money into malls from helicopters, grow the now-secret M3 at 20%--whatever. If the Democrats win in 2008, all that is going to end, and the economy will crash like a heroin addict taken off the needle.
And for the record, I think the Democrats would do the same thing if the roles were reversed. Both parties are guilty as sin when it comes to the coming economic collapse.
@Anonymous wrote:
SPeaking of doing what is necessary. Major banks have just been allowed to use more of their total liquidity to prop up the mortgage industry. This does not bode well as more is used to prop up the economy less will be used to increase the bottom line and there is only one place that can come from. The consumer, mortgage or not.
TheNewWorldMan wrote:As a capitalist and economic conservative myself, I oppose bailing out the unsuccessful, or punishing/surtaxing the prosperous.