I do think Tracy's values will fall a little further, it's not quite Stockton but not exactly Pleasanton either. In upcoming months I think that 100% financing will be hard to find in declining areas, and I would put Tracy in that category... most lenders will do "max financing less 5%", so since 100% financing is still available in non-declining areas, 95% is probably what you should anticipate in Tracy. The $5k you have can be combined with certain down payment assistance programs on an FHA mortgage.
What is the house price range you are looking at? What are the minimum payments on the CC & car loan?
Why do you have 2 cars? Are both needed?
In California land is generally worth more than the home, but you would have to look at what is going to suit your lifestyle the best. I recommend buying a home that would accommodate your situation, rather than finding a home that would be less likely to depreciate in value. The benefit with new homes it that builders are usually giving some good incentives on them, but in my opinion the quality of construction today isn't as good as the quality from decades ago.
Have you made on time payments to Macy's since the 30-day late? Did you make the payment as soon as you noticed it was late? Have you looked into writing a goodwill letter asking them to remove it?
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