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I know nothing is guaranteed. How accurate are Citi and US Bank's websites when you put in your information?
for Citi at least I would say not very accurate, it appears to be controlled by the marketing team and not underwriting.
When I asked for pre-approval/selected, they couldn't find any for me just gave me there default list of cards to apply for, despite being a citi credit card holder for 6 months. With multiple SP during the course of that time. It would be great if it came back with a message like, we see you are a good customer but it may not be a good time to apply for additional citi cards at this time, or you are pre-approved for blah, and blah, extra credit given for putting a potential CL along with the pre-approvals, I bet they would get many more happy card holders if it worked like that.