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@Revelate wrote:JLK did post some pretty compelling evidence there is a boundary on clean files (even if I explicitly did not have one on my dirty scorecard) where age of youngest account does have breakpoints for scorecard assignment.
Just picking out of the wind that's what I'd put my money on more than some small balance twiddling. Did the number of revolvers with balances shift at all?
I'm not a big fan of the bucketing argument as usually it's proven false but I'm just tossing out conjectures.
Yes.
7 revolvers with balance last month (no charge card), 6 revolvers with balance this month (1 of them a charge card). Total 11 cards (7 individual and 4 AU).
- 4 credit cards changed from balance to $0,
- 2 credit cards changed from $0 to balance,
- 1 charge card from $0 to balance,
- 3 cards reported a balance both months (1 PIF by due date, 1 has BT, 1 has 0% promo)
@newhis wrote:
@JLK93 wrote:It could be the youngest account. When my youngest account aged to 1 year, I lost 15 points on my FICO 9 industry enhanced scores.
Whey did here AAoA decrease. Where there new accounts?
Nothing new in the last 12 months. Her AAoA increased from 2 years 1 month to 2 years 2 months. Sorry it wasn't clear.
I misread your post. Sorry.
@newhis wrote:
@Revelate wrote:JLK did post some pretty compelling evidence there is a boundary on clean files (even if I explicitly did not have one on my dirty scorecard) where age of youngest account does have breakpoints for scorecard assignment.
Just picking out of the wind that's what I'd put my money on more than some small balance twiddling. Did the number of revolvers with balances shift at all?
I'm not a big fan of the bucketing argument as usually it's proven false but I'm just tossing out conjectures.
Yes.
7 revolvers with balance last month (no charge card), 6 revolvers with balance this month (1 of them a charge card). Total 11 cards (7 individual and 4 AU).
- 4 credit cards changed from balance to $0,
- 2 credit cards changed from $0 to balance,
- 1 charge card from $0 to balance,
- 3 cards reported a balance both months (1 PIF by due date, 1 has BT, 1 has 0% promo)
In the before and after snapshot, what was the split between AU's and non-AU cards with balances?
@Revelate wrote:In the before and after snapshot, what was the split between AU's and non-AU cards with balances?
11/08:
- 4 non-AU
- 3 AU
12/08:
- 5 non-AU
- 1 AU (this is a charge card)
Interesting.
@newhis wrote:
@Revelate wrote:In the before and after snapshot, what was the split between AU's and non-AU cards with balances?
11/08:
- 4 non-AU
- 3 AU
12/08:
- 5 non-AU
- 1 AU (this is a charge card)
Interesting.
EX FICO 8 at least for me I have a line at 50% of cards reporting a balance where I take a hit (your scorecard may be different but I kinda doubt it on this one).
If we're talking FICO 8, those AU's may or may not be counted. For the sake of the argument let's assume the charge card AU is counted and at most one of the other ones is. Since we don't know the details of the anti-abuse algorithm it's at least within the realm of possibility.
That would be 11/08: 5/11
12/8: 6/11, which would be a drop based on my data.
For me it'd be like 7-8 points, but your DW's score is so much prettier than mine it could well explain a 13 point drop. Anyway easy way to rule it out is just reduce the absolute number of cards with balances down to 5 or fewer on the next update, if you get the points back it was this, if you don't may be something else... but unfortunately with these sorts of changes you have to rule things out.
Thank you Revelate. Will do that.
It could have to do with how the AU cards are being counted. It could also be that a rebucking changed the sensitivity of the algorithm to the number of cards with balances. In either case, reducing the number of cards with balances is the way to go.
Back in the EQ04 days, there was a poster who could let all 4 of his cards report a balance without point loss. When his oldest card reached 4 years, he lost 50 points overnight. He then reduced his card count to 1 out of 4 and regained the 50 points. Of course, dramatic rebucketing effects like this are rare for FICO 8.
The AU was the problem. At least that's what I think.
The AU card was not used for few months, reported a balance and my DW score dropped. It reported a balance on June then November.
Looking at my scores, they dropped too but I didn't think about this card.
My DW was able to upgrade her free EX report to include the score. Her EX score today is 800.
Util still at 3%. The AU reports $0 now.
I still don't know if the drop was for the AU counted as more than 50% cards reported, or because the card was not used in almost 5 months.
I guess her short credit history and her good scores make those swings possible. 1 AU reporting a balance 13 points down, the AU now reporting $0, 16 points up.
Guess the 3 extra points are from having 1 less HP or newest account 1 year old.
No new bucket for her. Let's see what happens in 2 months when the AoOA is 3 years.
Thank you everyone.
EDIT: Sorry, see post below.
@newhis wrote:The AU was the problem. At least that's what I think.
The AU card was not used for few months, reported a balance and my DW score dropped. It reported a balance on June then November.
Looking at my scores, they dropped too but I didn't think about this card.
My DW was able to upgrade her free EX report to include the score. Her EX score today is 800.
Util still at 3%. The AU reports $0 now.
I still don't know if the drop was for the AU counted as more than 50% cards reported, or because the card was not used in almost 5 months.
I guess her short credit history and her good scores make those swings possible. 1 AU reporting a balance 13 points down, the AU now reporting $0, 16 points up.
Guess the 3 extra points are from having 1 less HP or newest account 1 year old.
No new bucket for her. Let's see what happens in 2 months when the AoOA is 3 years.
Thank you everyone.
I didn't see any movement getting to 3 years AAOA, I was hoping for a bump but nothing across all 3 bureaus and this is the 3rd time I've crossed it. I have a little bit of hope for 4 and more hope at 5 years at least, will be interested to see if you find differently on a clean file.
Card being idle for 5 months should be nothing, I've never seen anything where FICO cares unless on the theory it discounts tradelines over a certain no reporting window and I suspect that's way more than 5 months.
Confirmation that AU is counting though at least heh, and actually if the score rebounded after payment presumably it was number of acounts with balance.
@Revelate wrote:I didn't see any movement getting to 3 years AAOA, I was hoping for a bump but nothing across all 3 bureaus and this is the 3rd time I've crossed it. I have a little bit of hope for 4 and more hope at 5 years at least, will be interested to see if you find differently on a clean file.
Card being idle for 5 months should be nothing, I've never seen anything where FICO cares unless on the theory it discounts tradelines over a certain no reporting window and I suspect that's way more than 5 months.
Confirmation that AU is counting though at least heh, and actually if the score rebounded after payment presumably it was number of acounts with balance.
Sorry Revelate, something doesn't make sense. I'm just remembering something.
DW has 3 EX reports: 11/08, 12/08 and 12/14
and 4 EX scores: 11/11 794, 11/26 797, 12/11 784 and 12/14 800
The AU card is $0 on first report, balance in second and back to $0 on third.
On the 12/14 report it say that the new $0 balance was reported 12/11.
On 12/11 report, it say that it had a balance reported 11/10.
So, even if the card reported 11/10 and it didn't hit the reports until a few days latter (that could explain the 11/11 high score), how about the 11/26 score? At that time the AU was reported since 11/10 so I guess it should be on record and used to create her score.
As SouthJamaica said, if we don't have a report and score from same day, then we can't find the answer.
Something else made her score drop 13 points on 12/11.
Could it be that the terms for the AU card say 1 month, so on 12/11 before the payment was recorded, the FICO score model considered the account late? (yeah, I have a big imagination)