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Assinine logarithm?

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Anonymous
Not applicable

Assinine logarithm?

I thought the point was to pay down debt? I was at 691.

Here are a few line entries since:

  • An account that has been inactive for more than 3 months has become active (that's the Care Credit I use for my dogs and it gets paid off when the invoice arrives: 689
  • The balance on one of your accounts has increased by $190: 689
  • The balance on one of your accounts has decreased by $130: 688
  • The balance on one of your accounts has decreased by 51% : 682

Can someone explain this crap to me? Before the crash I had scores in the 800s and no late payments anywhere in my credit history. With the crash, I lost $265K and a business that saw sales plummet. Filed bankruptcy and saw my 800s go to 432. Now the same pigs in the financial sector who were complicit in the crash are insisting on pristeen credit?? I have a Master's degree and a formidable skill set, but cannot get hired because I am 71 and have been a business owner for most of my career. So I have a home business and have been on a bill-paying treadmill ever since. There were vendors I did not include because of my business ethics, so I'm paying them off. I used my home to pay off a $135K SBA loan in 2007 and found myself upside down in 2008. I don't mean to burden everyone with this, but I'm breaking my back trying to get back where I was credit-wise and these jerks DECREASE my score when I pay something down?? I paid off a $5,000 loan and didn't see any appreciable difference in my score.

I'll be damned if I can figure out what kind of logic these idiots at Equifax use. Even worse at Transunion. Same credit history, yet my score is 15 points below that of Equifax, after three disputes. I've just about had it with credit bureaus and the financial sector in general -- not to mention the pigs in DC.

Message 1 of 8
7 REPLIES 7
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Assinine logarithm?


@Anonymous wrote:

I thought the point was to pay down debt? I was at 691.

Here are a few line entries since:

  • An account that has been inactive for more than 3 months has become active (that's the Care Credit I use for my dogs and it gets paid off when the invoice arrives: 689
  • The balance on one of your accounts has increased by $190: 689
  • The balance on one of your accounts has decreased by $130: 688
  • The balance on one of your accounts has decreased by 51% : 682

Can someone explain this crap to me? Before the crash I had scores in the 800s and no late payments anywhere in my credit history. With the crash, I lost $265K and a business that saw sales plummet. Filed bankruptcy and saw my 800s go to 432. Now the same pigs in the financial sector who were complicit in the crash are insisting on pristeen credit?? I have a Master's degree and a formidable skill set, but cannot get hired because I am 71 and have been a business owner for most of my career. So I have a home business and have been on a bill-paying treadmill ever since. There were vendors I did not include because of my business ethics, so I'm paying them off. I used my home to pay off a $135K SBA loan in 2007 and found myself upside down in 2008. I don't mean to burden everyone with this, but I'm breaking my back trying to get back where I was credit-wise and these jerks DECREASE my score when I pay something down?? I paid off a $5,000 loan and didn't see any appreciable difference in my score.

I'll be damned if I can figure out what kind of logic these idiots at Equifax use. Even worse at Transunion. Same credit history, yet my score is 15 points below that of Equifax, after three disputes. I've just about had it with credit bureaus and the financial sector in general -- not to mention the pigs in DC.


In reality, trigger event statements often do not correlate to an observed score change.

 

Activity "events" such as you list above are only a trigger for pulling a new data set which is then used to re-calculate your score. The new data set is plugged into the Fico algorithm which results in a score update. More often than not a score shift is due to some other factor or factors tht changed NOT directly related to the trigger event.

 

An account that has been inactive will trigger the statement you list when it becomes active. That will trigger a data pull and re-calculation of score((s). Best I can tell is if the period of inactivity was 3 to 6 months, no impact on score as a consequence of showing activity. However, if the period of inactivity was greater than 6 months, a score drop may result due to the change in account status. If/when that does happen, the drop is temporary and should only last one statement cycle.

 

The balance "alerts" are trigger events but, are inconsequential relative to score (in your case). The drop from 688 to 682 is not due to decreasing an account balance. It relates to something else - perhaps an increase in # accounts reporting a non zero balance or one of many other factors.

 

Note: If you have only one open istalment loan and pay it off you may see a 10 to 30 point drop in Fico 08 score - depending on balance to loan ratio prior to pay off.

 

For illustrative purposees only the impact of loan payoff on Fico 08 score might be something like:

1) 30 point score drop if B/L was under 9% 

2) 20 point drop if B/L was between 10% and 70%

3) 10 point drop if B/L was between 70% and 90%.

 

Actual impact is dependent on a person's overall profile and scorecard assignment.

 

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 2 of 8
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Assinine logarithm?

Thank you for the prompt response, Tom, but I still don't see how this happens. There is NOTHING but bill payment going on in my history. I don't have one late payment anywhere, because I will go without food before I make a late payment -- that's how much I want to have my scores back where they were. So though you presented a very cogent answer, I still am no further ahead in understanding why these scores fluctuate the way they do. I haven't applied for new credit either.

 

One thing I don't know how to get rid of and hope you can help there also, is I recently went looking at several SUVs to lease. The three different dealerships told me the credit inquiries would be soft. As it turns out they were hard inquiries that resulted in lowering my score. The same dealer is down three times for an inquiry? Two models I looked at didn't have sufficient cargo room for my five rescued dogs (three of whom are Rotties, so room is required!). The one I settled on and signed paperwork with is the only one I expected to see a hard inquiry from.

 

I'll wait until the next cycle and see if anything changes. Thank you again and if you have an answer to the paragraph above, I would appreciate it.

Message 3 of 8
SouthJamaica
Mega Contributor

Re: Assinine logarithm?


@Anonymous wrote:

Thank you for the prompt response, Tom, but I still don't see how this happens. There is NOTHING but bill payment going on in my history. I don't have one late payment anywhere, because I will go without food before I make a late payment -- that's how much I want to have my scores back where they were. So though you presented a very cogent answer, I still am no further ahead in understanding why these scores fluctuate the way they do. I haven't applied for new credit either.

 

One thing I don't know how to get rid of and hope you can help there also, is I recently went looking at several SUVs to lease. The three different dealerships told me the credit inquiries would be soft. As it turns out they were hard inquiries that resulted in lowering my score. The same dealer is down three times for an inquiry? Two models I looked at didn't have sufficient cargo room for my five rescued dogs (three of whom are Rotties, so room is required!). The one I settled on and signed paperwork with is the only one I expected to see a hard inquiry from.

 

I'll wait until the next cycle and see if anything changes. Thank you again and if you have an answer to the paragraph above, I would appreciate it.


If you tell us how many credit cards there are, what the limits are, and what the balances are, plus what installment loans there are, and what the starting amounts and present balances are, we can probably figure out (a) what caused the score changes, and (b) how to make the algorithms work for you. It's definitely not as simple as penalizing you for paying things down, but there are peculiarities in the algorithms which you can get working for you instead of against you, if you know what they are.

 

As to your question about inquiries, (a) why would you believe what  a car dealer tells you about soft vs. hard inquiries? (b) even though a flurry of 3 hard inquiries is visible from your car loan, if they occurred within a 2 week time frame they will be scored as only 1.

 

 


Total revolving limits 569520 (505320 reporting) FICO 8: EQ 689 TU 691 EX 682




Message 4 of 8
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Assinine logarithm?


@Anonymous wrote:

Thank you for the prompt response, Tom, but I still don't see how this happens. There is NOTHING but bill payment going on in my history. I don't have one late payment anywhere, because I will go without food before I make a late payment -- that's how much I want to have my scores back where they were. So though you presented a very cogent answer, I still am no further ahead in understanding why these scores fluctuate the way they do. I haven't applied for new credit either.

 

One thing I don't know how to get rid of and hope you can help there also, is I recently went looking at several SUVs to lease. The three different dealerships told me the credit inquiries would be soft. As it turns out they were hard inquiries that resulted in lowering my score. The same dealer is down three times for an inquiry? Two models I looked at didn't have sufficient cargo room for my five rescued dogs (three of whom are Rotties, so room is required!). The one I settled on and signed paperwork with is the only one I expected to see a hard inquiry from.

 

I'll wait until the next cycle and see if anything changes. Thank you again and if you have an answer to the paragraph above, I would appreciate it.


Worrying about small changes (+/- 10 or even 20 points) is the route to insanity in my opinion.   The algorithm can be awkward especially from the rational consumer perspective.

 

Optimizing one's FICO score isn't that hard if you never miss a payment (seriously, most people would've going through a BK), your major problem is that the BK while it's on there is going to keep your scores depressed until it falls off much like my tax lien.

 

There are some idiosyncracies along the way, as Thomas mentioned paying down a loan is a good thing, but paying it off completely dependant on the rest of your file might be a negative.  It's counter-intuitive to be sure and there are lots of complaints here regarding that so you're in good company, but it can also be easily manipulated too for a trivial amount of money (less than a yuppie foodstamp) if that's what hit you.

 

~700 scores for a BK don't suck, in general for optimal you want minimal but non-zero reported balances on only a couple of cards (1 is optimal for everyone) and $0 on the rest of the revolving accounts... and then some open installment loan, ideally at less than call it 9% of it's original balance.

 

That's as pretty as it gets, with an almost 5 year old tax lien at the time and the above strategy I hit 739 on a FICO 8 score, and we've only had one person break that subsequently (who hit a 753 with way more credit history than I and also older tax liens which might have been a difference).  BK's are counted similarly to tax liens, maybe identically but we don't have the same amount of data around them unfortunately, not sure what it is about tax liens that correlates with people who do analysis of the algorithm but anyway.




        
Message 5 of 8
RonM21
Valued Contributor

Re: Assinine logarithm?

I agree. I think a minor fluctuation, good or bad, should almost be ignored because it really doesn't signal much.

OP, if you happen to decide to provide more details about your reports as S.J. recommended, I sure someone can figure out what else could have triggered the score movement.


Total CL: $321.7kUTL: 2%AAoA: 7.0yrsBaddies: 0Other: Lease, Loan, *No Mortgage, All Inq's from Jun '20 Car Shopping

BoA-55k | NFCU-45k | AMEX-42k | DISC-40.6k | PENFED-38.4k | LOWES-35k | ALLIANT-25k | CITI-15.7k | BARCLAYS-15k | CHASE-10k

Message 6 of 8
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Assinine logarithm?

Thank you all. I really wasn't expecting much on July 4th. Glad to see others are online as well. My problem today is I'm running a cageless dog boarding business out of my home and I have nine dogs here right now (five are mine). Please let me get past the holiday and then I can provide the information re: CCs and loans. I read online that the credit bureaus were going to change the way they do things and allow negatives to drop off much sooner. Did anyone hear anything about that. Considering the crash and all the damage it caused, I would think they could be a little more considerate of those of us whose businesses and lives were ruined by the pigs in the financial sector and in DC. 

 

All those hundred-hour weeks negated due to no fault of ours. Nice! I'll be back in touch when I have the info you need. You're the best. I already feel less stressed!  :-)

Message 7 of 8
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Assinine logarithm?


@Anonymous wrote:

Thank you all. I really wasn't expecting much on July 4th. Glad to see others are online as well. My problem today is I'm running a cageless dog boarding business out of my home and I have nine dogs here right now (five are mine). Please let me get past the holiday and then I can provide the information re: CCs and loans. I read online that the credit bureaus were going to change the way they do things and allow negatives to drop off much sooner. Did anyone hear anything about that. Considering the crash and all the damage it caused, I would think they could be a little more considerate of those of us whose businesses and lives were ruined by the pigs in the financial sector and in DC. 

 

All those hundred-hour weeks negated due to no fault of ours. Nice! I'll be back in touch when I have the info you need. You're the best. I already feel less stressed!  :-)


It's been floated in the legislative branch at least twice now, didn't go anywhere the first time not sure it will the second time either though this one looks a little more rational... there are unintended consequences to it potentially, like the lenders all changing their underwriting requirements similar to what they do whenever they switch FICO score versions.  

 

For the most part most lenders already take that into account and treat a tax lien or BK or lates or whatever from those times way differently than if someone were to get one say right now even if that isn't hugely reflected in some of the older scores, more recent ones like FICO 8 do take that somewhat into account though a public record like a BK or tax lien is going to hurt for the entire time it's on there... fortunately that's not really an impediment these days to acquiring credit, knock on wood but other than a CLI I haven't been turned down for anything since joining this forum and my file isn't pretty.




        
Message 8 of 8
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