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My Experian Observation

tag
Established Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation


rmily wrote: 
The past largest balance on my card went from $338 to $641, but as I understand that is not considered for scoring purposes.  The util on the one card went from 3.89% to 5.77%.  Is there a threshold there? 

I don't think that the 5.77% is the culprit.  I would consider the fact that one tradeline aged to more than one year old. An increase in average age might have put you in a new bucket. That could be a 20 point drop if you are now compared to people with older thicker files. 

Message 11 of 25
fused
Moderator Emeritus

Re: My Experian Observation


CreditAble wrote:

rmily wrote: 
The past largest balance on my card went from $338 to $641, but as I understand that is not considered for scoring purposes.  The util on the one card went from 3.89% to 5.77%.  Is there a threshold there? 

I don't think that the 5.77% is the culprit.  I would consider the fact that one tradeline aged to more than one year old. An increase in average age might have put you in a new bucket. That could be a 20 point drop if you are now compared to people with older thicker files. 


 

Yes, this might be the case.
Message 12 of 25
marty56
Super Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation


@Anonymous wrote:
I went through line by line and all accounts are the same, only with updated data.  All opening dates are the same.  Both reports show the same inquiry.  No lates, etc.  The past largest balance on my card went from $338 to $641, but as I understand that is not considered for scoring purposes.  The util on the one card went from 3.89% to 5.77%.  Is there a threshold there?  I've been living by the 1-9% rule..

I have found that 1% is the same as 9% so $1 is the same as a full 9% since they round up.

1/25/2021: FICO 850 EQ 848 TU 847 EX
Message 13 of 25
cobaltnv
Established Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation

Others have reported that while 1-9% is a good rule of thumb that there is a sweet-spot fore each individual. It is  possible that you have found your sweet-spot between 3.89-5.77%.

There is one poster on here that talks about this sweet-spot a great deal, unfortunately I cannot remember the ID right now .

TU 810: EQ 813: EX 814 (9/16/09--Loan officer pull)

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Message 14 of 25
Established Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation


@marty56 wrote:
I have found that 1% is the same as 9% so $1 is the same as a full 9% since they round up.

 

Have you actually verified that less that 1% is rounded up in the actual utilization score algorithm? If so what method did you use?

 

 I do not believe that the percentage is rounded up in the actual score computation. Just because the summary says that 1% this or 17% that, doesn't mean that the score computations are made in round numbers. I know for a fact that a percentage between 0 and 1% utilization generates my highest score. A full 1% utilization will actually generate a lower score. That score would be pretty much identical  to the scores generated by my 2-5% utilization. That score in the 1-6% range is definitely lower than the higher number generated somewhere less that 1%.

 

Message Edited by CreditAble on 02-09-2009 05:32 PM
Message 15 of 25
Established Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation


@cobaltnv wrote:

Others have reported that while 1-9% is a good rule of thumb that there is a sweet-spot fore each individual. It is  possible that you have found your sweet-spot between 3.89-5.77%.

There is one poster on here that talks about this sweet-spot a great deal, unfortunately I cannot remember the ID right now .


 

Thanks cobaltnv

 

 For your observation. I have pretty much grown a little tired of repeating myself on this issue. You are entirely correct that the "sweet spot" might be in play in the situation being discussed. I have never found the score deviation to be as high as 20 points based upon the optimum percentage utility. The score deviation that I was able to confirm is as little as 3-6 points. I have never found it to exceed 9 points. 

 

 It is highly possible that both sweet spot and bucket change can be contributing to the score drop. I did not bring up the "sweet spot" because most here readily embrace the possibility of bucket change while preferring to adhere to the 1-9% rule of thumb without mentioning the "sweet spot" variable. Generally a person can actually determine his optimal balance by playing with the score simulator. The score simulator does a pretty good job of predicting the best balance number. There is just no way to find out the percentage number for sure without a trial and error method over a period of months. 

 

Message 16 of 25
smallfry
Senior Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation

I know for a fact that FICO rounds up to 1%. I had $122 report a few months ago on $130K available credit and it was rounded up. In some buckets the sweet spot can be under 4% utilization. Sounds like OP is the victim of a bucket switch to me. I have heard a few people report that their scores were slightly higher if they keep the reported balances under $500 on each card. Just grasping at straws here but aside from a new bucket that is all I can think of since the report is actually more seasoned. 
Message Edited by smallfry on 02-09-2009 05:52 PM
Message 17 of 25
fused
Moderator Emeritus

Re: My Experian Observation


cobaltnv wrote:

Others have reported that while 1-9% is a good rule of thumb that there is a sweet-spot fore each individual. It is  possible that you have found your sweet-spot between 3.89-5.77%.

There is one poster on here that talks about this sweet-spot a great deal, unfortunately I cannot remember the ID right now .


 

I have found my revolving util sweet spot. Might you be talking about Psychic?
Message 18 of 25
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: My Experian Observation


@fused wrote:

@cobaltnv wrote:

Others have reported that while 1-9% is a good rule of thumb that there is a sweet-spot fore each individual. It is  possible that you have found your sweet-spot between 3.89-5.77%.

There is one poster on here that talks about this sweet-spot a great deal, unfortunately I cannot remember the ID right now .


 

I have found my revolving util sweet spot. Might you be talking about Psychic?

My "sweet spot" is 1%!

Message 19 of 25
Established Contributor

Re: My Experian Observation


@smallfry wrote:
I know for a fact that FICO rounds up to 1%. I had $122 report a few months ago on $130K available credit and it was rounded up.

 

 There are two separate issues here. I know for a fact that in some cases utilization of less than 1% can generate FICO scores higher than having exactly 1% utilization. FICO does not round up the utilization percentage when generating the score.

 

Just because the FICO summary may have said that your $122 was 1% of $130K does not mean that the score was generated based upon a 1% utility. Your score was generated based upon .09% (point 09%).

 

If you don't believe me play with the FICO score simulator. The score changes at utilization points that are not necessarily whole percentage numbers.

 

When an explanation  (reason) is generated pertaining to the score or other scoring factors, fractions of a percent are not used. The percentage is rounded up for explanation purposes.

 

The balance that generates my maximum FICO score is below one percent. If I carried a balance of exactly 1% of my total credit limit my FICO score is lower. The actual scoring algorithm definitely does not round up a fractional percentage (utility) to the next highest percent and then use the rounded utility percentage to complete the scoring computation.

 

Generally when doing mathematical calculations you use numbers accurate to a certain number of decimal places. The final number can then be rounded up or down. One doesn't usually round all numbers to one decimal place and then begin the calculation.

 

If the final number is greater than 0 but less than 1, rounding up to one is more accurate than claiming that there is no numeric value at all. One could hardly say that utility was zero when a small balance in fact existed.

 

That is what happened in your case. Your actual utility was 9/100 of 1 %. It was not zero. When explaining your utility percentage the FICO guys simply prefer to use whole numbers when making their explanations.

 

When Equifax quotes a consumer's average age it uses years and months. The other bureaus seem to round down to the year. That does not necessarily mean that Equifax generates a score based on average age to the nearest month, while the others base the score on average age rounded down to the year. It is simply the way the different bureaus choose to summarize the consumer's stats.

 

In this forum we try to determine cause and effect of FICO scores. We are basically trying to "reverse engineer" a secret algorithm even though we will never have all of the essential data to work with.

 

 We must be careful not to introduce inaccurate assumptions about the data that we can observe and test. Just because MyFico rounds up when telling a consumer what his utilization is, it does not mean that the scoring algorithm rounds up in a similar manner. 

 

I have been trying to shed some light on the utilization sweet spot issue for some time now. There seems to be few who have acknowledged that they understand or at least are open to the possibility that the phenomenon does exist.

 

colbaltnv is one of a few who seems to understand the reality of a slight bump in score in some cases at below the 1% utilization mark.

 

I really shouldn't try so hard to keep setting the record straight. The issue no longer matters to me for my scoring purposes. If it matters to others I have already explained how they can find their own "sweet spots" i am sure some have. It is not that hard.

 

If a person needs a few extra points he can find them in some cases below 1% utility. The FICO simulator was pretty accurate in predicting where I should start when I performed my own month to month trial and error tests a few years ago.

 

 

smallfry,

 

I am not trying to disagree with your statement. You are correct when stating that FICO rounds up. FICO however only rounds up when giving summaries or explanations. FICO does not round up basic raw data before performing the actual score calculations.

Message Edited by CreditAble on 02-10-2009 03:56 AM
Message 20 of 25
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