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Total Balance Owed Thresholds

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Zoostation1
Valued Contributor

Total Balance Owed Thresholds

I have a dirty revolver only profile - 7 CCs and a BK7 that's about to hit 8yrs old.  I know about the individual revolver utilization thresholds and the muddiness around aggregate utilization percentages, but am wondering if the 3 point drop I just got on EX8 is due to aggregate utilization or aggregate balances.  My reported overall utilization went from 4% ($2635) to 6.2% ($4091) on $66.2k of total CL and my EX8 score dropped 3ptsfrom 703 to 700 with that.  I know the myFICO alerts and the score changes shown aren't necessarily related, but it's the only change that could have effected it and Experian also notified me the same day as myFICO of the changes and score decrease. Trying to figure out if I crossed an aggregate utilization % threshold or an aggregate balance (in raw dollars) threshold.  I tend to think raw dollars initially because when my total CL was lower I never lost points on any FICO 8 score until I crossed over 9% on aggregate utilization %. It's not enough of a drop to matter, but any thoughts? 

Rebuild Started Nov 2021
June 2022 FICO 8:
June 2022 FICO 9:
June 2022 FICO 10:
June 2022 FICO 10T:
May 2026 FICO 8:
May 2026 FICO 9:
May 2026 FICO 10:
May 2026 FICO 10T:
Message 1 of 30
29 REPLIES 29
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

An aggregate of 5% and a total balance at $3000 have both been suggested as possible thresholds based on past poster data. However, no real justification for picking $3000 vs $2800 or $3200. The testing on total balance thresholds is limited and not at all rigorous.

 

Did highest % utilization on an individual card change? If yes, what were before/after values? Also, any change in quantity of cards reporting balances?

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 2 of 30
Zoostation1
Valued Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

@Thomas_Thumb No change in number of cards reporting. I stayed at 3/7.  Individual utilization changes were:

Card1:  increase from 6.9% to 7.9%

Card2: increase from 1.6% to 12%

Card3: decrease from 6.8% to 4.8% 

Rebuild Started Nov 2021
June 2022 FICO 8:
June 2022 FICO 9:
June 2022 FICO 10:
June 2022 FICO 10T:
May 2026 FICO 8:
May 2026 FICO 9:
May 2026 FICO 10:
May 2026 FICO 10T:
Message 3 of 30
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

To summarize, your highest utilization on a single card went from 6.9% to 12%. That crosses above 9% which may or may not be important for the individual card metric.

 

It looks like you have 3 possible influencers. Consider some follow-up testing to isolate the possibilities. 

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 4 of 30
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

Went on-line a couple days ago to check my AMEX account. It provides an EX Fico 8 score. My score had been tracking at 847-848 for quite a few months. Then 1 update ago score dropped to 837. This last update was 842. 

 

I know my utilization has increased recently as I don't paydown/off balances before statement close dates. A couple eye surgeries, new glasses, new recliner sofa and insurance premium spiked usage.

 

After some investigation here is what I found:

 

EX F8 @848:

- 2 of 5 cards reporting, highest card UT - 1 @ 10%, AG UT @ 2%.

 

EX F8 @837:

- 5 of 5 cards reporting, highest card UT - 2 @ 13%, AG UT @ 7%.

 

EX F8 @842:

- 4 of 5 cards reporting, highest card UT - 1 @ 13%, AG UT @ 4%.

 

I suspect the big drop from 848 to 837 is partially due to an increase in AG UT%. Threshold at 5% or 6%? I think 5% but some sources suggest 6% (including a reference from an EX web site). Likely 100% of cards with balances was a contributing factor.

 

The big question is why only a 5 point gain 837 => 842 dropping back below 5% AG UT? Sure, 4 of 5 cards are still reporting balances but, EX is somewhat insensitive to cards with balances if under 100% and QTY reporting does not exceed 6.

 

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 5 of 30
Zoostation1
Valued Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

Haven't done much to try to isolate my changes yet, but pretty sure I can confirm $4000 isn't a raw dollar threshold.  My utilization dropped ever so slightly to get be below at $3993, but no other material changes with 6.0% aggregate and highest card only going from 12% to 11%.  No EX8 score change.

Rebuild Started Nov 2021
June 2022 FICO 8:
June 2022 FICO 9:
June 2022 FICO 10:
June 2022 FICO 10T:
May 2026 FICO 8:
May 2026 FICO 9:
May 2026 FICO 10:
May 2026 FICO 10T:
Message 6 of 30
Zoostation1
Valued Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

 I don't have any new data regarding that 3pt drop on EX8, but looking at my data again I can come to some conclusions about TU8 for my profile now that I'm at 8 months with no changes to my TU8 score (still 700).

  • vs 3/7 reporting makes no difference on TU8.
  • 4%-6.7% overall utilization and anything in between makes no difference on my profile.  Individual utilization never went about 14% during this 8 month stretch total reported balances ranged from $2625-$4119 (there were some CLIs during the stretch but seem to have been immaterial

For EQ8, 2/7 vs 3/7 reporting also doesn't matter, but have an oddity at where at 4% aggregate 3/7 with no card at 10% i had 704 and then a 708. No HPs reporting for either.

Rebuild Started Nov 2021
June 2022 FICO 8:
June 2022 FICO 9:
June 2022 FICO 10:
June 2022 FICO 10T:
May 2026 FICO 8:
May 2026 FICO 9:
May 2026 FICO 10:
May 2026 FICO 10T:
Message 7 of 30
BrutalBodyShots
Established Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

@Zoostation1 - Threshold points that I've found related to raw dollars of revolving debt have been around $2k, $5k and $10k. Since my total revolving balances rarely go much above $12-13k, I haven't been able to test above that. Around each of those 3 values that I mentioned, I've seen score changes exclusive of aggregate utilization; aggregate utilization would have been in the 1%-4% range in all cases. I'm on a clean/thick/mature scorecard though, so it's not out of the question that your scorecard could see different results.

 

@Thomas_Thumb - Do you not believe that EX8 is bulletproof to AWB% changes? I've tested it plenty of times and have never lost a single FICO point in moving from AZEO to 100% AWB and back to AZEO, and I know plenty of others that have reported the same thing. We're on the same scorecard, so I'd expect your results to mirror mine.

Message 8 of 30
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

@Zoostation1 

 

@BrutalBodyShots 

 I have no open loans and only a few cards. While my file is not thin per se, it is not thick. Since my loan closed my EQ and TU F8 scores have been fluctuating as number of cards reporting balances has changed. I do see minor +/- 1 point changes on EX Fico 8 and EX Fico 9 now of undetermined origin. Never tried to investigate cause.

 

Pre mortgage closure none of my F8 or F9 scores changed regardless of 

# of accounts or % of cards reporting balances. The buffer played a role. Only mortgage Ficos showed the sensitivity and industry option scores. 

 

Years ago I compared Fico 04 and Fico 8 reason code lists for all 3 CRAs. The line item for "too many accounts with balances" had the same code number for EQ and TU but was blank for EX, iirc. My links to those lists are dead but, I may have saved a few. I'll see what I can find and possibly post a screen shot.

 

I just checked my EX F8 and F9 score history over the last year. There were a handful of 1 point changes. Not sure what triggered those because I have no associated reason code history. Most months showed no change. Could the +/- 1 relate to crossing a low level $2k threshold for total balance? 

 

AMEX reported a -10 point EX F8 change on 9/29 followed by +5 on 10/13 and another +5 on 10/29. WF reported -13 for EX F9 in Oct and then +13 in Nov. I recall purchasing furniture back then and paying some insurance and medical bills. Those EX score changes were definitely due to changes in balance reporting. AG UT remained at or below 4%  most of the time. However, on a 10/17 summary report from Discover my AG UT went to 6% and also would have exceeded $5k on TB.  So, I did cross above a possible 5% AG threshold. The 2 step paydown and EX F8 5 point score rises could be due, in part, to crossing below a $ threshold for total balance. If highest card UT dropping below 9% is a thing, that could have been in play as well. (Side note: TU Fico 8 reported -6 in Oct and then +6 in Nov).

 

I would need to pull a EX and TU reports to determine monthly aggregate reported balances.

 

 

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 9 of 30
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Total Balance Owed Thresholds

Below are a couple Fico 8 historical score summary tables to go with my prior post commentary. The 1st is EX Fico 8 as provided by American Express. They include actual pull date which is nice. However, no retained info on aggregate utilization or accounts reporting balances. The 2nd table is TU Fico 8 as provided by Discover. Their extracted summary does not show pull date but, recent statements show Dec 17th and Nov 17th for pull dates. On the plus side, the Discover summary does list aggregate utilization.

 

Comparing the tables suggest a card with a significant balance reported after 9/17 but before 9/29. Then a different card updated with a reduced balance or $0 balance before 10/13. So, the 10/17 TU pull does not capture the peak total balance or peak aggregate utilization which reached 7%.

 

@BrutalBodyShots 

American Express EX Fico 8 - Score History

Date Score pulled

Point change

EX Fico 8 score

Jan 14, 2026

0 pts

848

Dec 29, 2025

+2 pts

848

Nov 29, 2025

-1 pts

846

Oct 29, 2025

+5 pts

847

Oct 13, 2025

+5 pts

842

Sep 29, 2025

-10 pts

837

Sep 6, 2025

0 pts

847

Aug 29, 2025

-1 pts

847

Jul 29, 2025

0 pts

848

Jul 7, 2025

0 pts

848

Jun 29, 2025

0 pts

848

May 29, 2025

0 pts

848

Apr 29, 2025

0 pts

848

Mar 29, 2025

0 pts

848

Feb 28, 2025

0 pts

848

Jan 29, 2025

0 pts

848

Dec 29, 2024

+1 pts

848

Nov 29, 2024

-1 pts

847

Oct 29, 2024

0 pts

848

Sep 29, 2024

+1 pts

848

Aug 29, 2024

-1 pts

847

Jul 29, 2024

0 pts

848

Jun 29, 2024

0 pts

848

May 29, 2024

0 pts

848

Apr 29, 2024

--

848

Elevated balance (over $5k) and total utilization (6.7%) captured by 9/29/25 pull.

EX CRA report total balance history shown in bottom table.

 

Discover Card TU Fico 8 - Score History

Date

Point Change

TU Fico 8 Score

Ag UT%

Dec 17 '25

+1

838

2%

Nov 17 '25

+6

837

4%

Oct 17 '25

-6

831

6%

Sep 17 '25

+3

837

4%

Aug 17 '25

-4

834

4%

Jul 17 '25

0

838

1%

Jun 17 '25

+1

838

2%

May 17 '25

-1

837

2%

Apr 17 '25

+1

838

2%

Mar 17 '25

-1

837

2%

Feb 17 '25

+11

838

1%

Jan 17 '25

**

827

3%

* The low TU Fico 8 score in Jan 2025 is not reflected in Dec 2024, Jan 2025 or Feb 2025 EX Fico 8 scores.

Influence of high number or % of cards reporting a balance on TU?

 - My experience is EX Fico 8 lacks sensitivity to number or % of cards reporting balances.

 

Including for comparison Wells Fargo EX Fico 9 - Score History

Date

Point Change

EX Fico 9 Score

01/01/2026

0

850

12/01/2025

+1

850

11/01/2025

+13

849

10/01/2025

-13

836

09/01/2025

+4

849

08/01/2025

-5

845

07/01/2025

+5

850

06/01/2025

0

845

05/01/2025

-4

845

04/01/2025

0

849

03/01/2025

-1

849

02/01/2025

**

850

This version also shows the double digit score drop seen in EX Fico 8.

Single step rebound due to increased duration between pulls.

* EX F9 reflects more monthly score variability than EX Fico 8

 

Added MyFico EQ Fico 8 - Score History

Date of Credit Pull

Point Change

EQ Fico 8 Score

01/10/2026

0

840

12/10/2025

+4

840

11/10/2025

0

836

10/10/2025

-2

836

09/10/2025

0

838

08/20/2025

0

838

07/05/2025

-2

838

06/10/2025

+3

840

04/20/2025

-3

837

01/27/2025

+5

840

12/20/2024

-5

835

10/02/2024

**

840

* The EQ Fico 8 pull on September 10, 2025 is before the late September balance spike. 

The subsequent October 2025 pull shows minimal score impact. 

 

Added Experian Credit Report - Historical Total Monthly Balances

Report Month

Total Bal (no AU)

Total Bal (with AU)

Nov 2025

$1424

$3358

Oct 2025

$3377

$3867

Sep 2025

$5765

$6657

Aug 2025

$3337

$3922

Jul 2025

$3760

$4148

Jun 2025

$1146

$1990

May 2025

$1625

$2355

Apr 2025

$2020

$2942

Mar 2025

$2097

$2745

Feb 2025

$1156

$2096

Jan 2025

$1240

$2483

Dec 2024

$2743

$3785

* Exceeded $5000 aggregate threshold mentioned by BBS.

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 10 of 30
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