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SCORECARDS?

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DIYcredit
Frequent Contributor

SCORECARDS?

Hi,     I've been trying  to figure out the scorecards and the FICO credit score ranges for each scorecard and got few answers.I have three 60 days late on one closed account from two years ago. Also I have one Collection on Experian and Equifax cr's.

The only things that I could come up with are:

  1-Their are possibility 15 scorecards [about 10  ''non-derog'' and about 5 ''derog'' scorecards]

  2-Each scorecard that you fall in you you are compared to people with similar credit reports.

  3-''Derog'' scorecard are 90 days late or worse.

  4-Each scorecard has a minimum and maximum FICO score range.

  5-Credit score may decrease when jump from one scorecard to another.[rebucketed]

 

The only things I could come up are something like;

  ''Non derog Scorecards''

  -Thickness of File

 -Thin File

 -Age of File

 -Mortgage

 -Recency  of  new openings

 -Late payments [30 and 60 Days]

 -Car Loan

 -Student/Personal Loan

 -Credit Cards

 

  ''Derog Scorecards''

 -Bankruptcy

 -90 Days  Late

 -Collections

 -Public Records

 -Indebtedness

 

Does anyone have a detailed description of FICO Scorecards and Scorecard credit score ranges?

 

If their is anything anyone wanted to add or correct  please do.I posted this so I can share my experiences and  learn from the real Credit Experts.

 

 

   Thanks,

              DIYcredit

Message 1 of 27
26 REPLIES 26
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: SCORECARDS?

Hello DIYcredit!  Interesting question.

 

There may be two reasons you are asking it.  First you may be interested in something purely practical, rooted very specifically in your own situation.  Your question in this sense might be this.  Hey guys, I have the following derogs on my file: X, Y, Z.  As long as they are on there what is the upper range for how high my score can go?  Here you are interested in practical knowledge so you can make choices and plans.

 

Second, you might be interested in something purely theoretical.  In that sense, you might just be curious about how FICO 8 works, just for the pleasure of learning about it.

 

And you might have both interests operating.  But it may be useful to clarify which is your primary driver.  If you reframe the practical question as above, you may get a bottom line answer that doesn't involve going down a theoretical rabbit hole.

 

That said, I hope that Thom Thumb chimes in on your question.  He has a great interest in theoretical questions (as do others) and goes out of his way to do a lot of research and thoughtful speculation.  The last time I spoke with him about this (maybe a few weeks ago) I think he reminded me that there are 12 scorecards for FICO 8, eight of which are for clean profiles and that the remaining four are probably 2 dirty and 2 very thin. 

 

He also found a resource a while back (LW's book) that enabled him to make an interesting guess as to how the 8 clean score cards are determined.  TT wrote:

 

Liz Weston's book: Your Credit Score  (4th ed.) states the following for Fico scorecards:

1) Fico 4 scorecards - total 10, 8 for clean files and two for non clean files.

2) Fico 8 scorecards - total 12, 8 for clean profiles, 4 for non clean profiles

 

Three factors are identified for scorecard assigmet on profiles with only positive information :

a) # of accounts, b) AAoA and c) age of youngest account.

 

My guestimate on breakpoints ... for scorecard assignment is 8 accounts (possibly 10), 8 years and 2 years. If each of these three factors is assigned a + or - then there are a total of 8 combinations; which matches the stated number of scorecards for "only positive information".

 

If history shows "a serious delinquency", the model also looks for: presence of any public record ( such as bankruptcy or tax lien) and the worst delinquency, if there is more than one on file, to assign a profile to one of the remaining scorecards.

 

Again, to return to the practical question about what you might need to do, it's basically the boring unsexy stuff you probably have heard.  I.e. your score is going to be sharply punished until you (or  Father Time) can get your derogs off your profile (especially the collection).  While you are working on that, you want to allow your accounts to age, pay off your credit cards (and then keep your utilization very low when you need the best score), etc.

 

Also, again from a practicial perspective, I wouldn't worry about your score going down due to moving to a clean score card.  First off that is rare.  And second, it doesn't change what you have to do, which is get your damn derogs off.

 

Here is a link to another discussion that you may find interesting:

 

http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Understanding-FICO-Scoring/Did-I-get-rebucketed/td-p/4162338/highlig...

 

Message 2 of 27
DIYcredit
Frequent Contributor

Re: SCORECARDS?

  HI

       Thanks for your very informative information  My primary interest is in learning about how FICO 8 works just for the pleasure of learning about it.It.I made a continuous  effort to learn the most about how the whole FICO Credit System works in detail.I am very THANKFUL to the CONTRIBUTES  and EXPERTS  of this forum who give me a  GREAT CREDIT EDUCATION.

Message 3 of 27
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: SCORECARDS?

Yep, I continue to learn a lot from folks here,  Glad you are here.

 

Truth is, however, the exact details of the scorecards are things that FICO keeps pretty secret.  Nocofy knows for sure what factors are used to place people in one scorecard over another and what the ranges are for each card,  So may find it difficult to find out too much.

 

Good luck!

Message 4 of 27
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: SCORECARDS?

Indeed Fico 8 has 12 scorecards and Fico 4, 98 have 10 scorecards. In all cases 8 scorecards are for clean files. There are a number of published papers, such as the TransUnion Scores document, in addition to Liz Weston's book that speak to Fico and other model scorecards.

 

It is well known that certain factors, such as the # of cards reporting a balance, influence score differently depending on the credit profile. It is generally believed this relates, in part anyway, to what scorecard your profile is assigned. There are no published "score ceilings" for scorecards but there are strong indications ceilings exist.

 

Liz does state that scorecard assignment (for the 8 clean cards) takes number of accounts, age of accounts and age of youngest account into consideration.

 

Everything from here down is speculation on my part - so consider it accordingly [and I reserve the right to revise my hypothesis at any time based on new data]. Let's start with the premise that each of the three factors are given either a high (H) or low (L) rating. The 3 factors at two levels yields 8 combinations - same as # of clean scorecards.

 

Data suggests you can reach a score of 850 with an account less than 2 years old and no loans on file. It is unclear what the minimum # of accounts (open + closed) might be for still achieving a top score. Evidence continues to suggest 8 years AAoA may be required for a top score - perhaps 10 years for oldest account. At any rate, ability to achieve a top score as presented by many posters indicates multiple scorecards have an 850 potential. However, level of execution may need to be more rigorouis on lower scorecard assignments - Like a gymnastics routine that has all the manditory elements but a lesser degree of difficulty.

 

Anyway here is a hypothetical table for Fico 8.

The ceilings and High/Low criteria values are a personal best guess based on reviewing posted data "snapshots" over time.

 

(edit - increased ceiling guestimate on clean 8 scorecard to 759 from 719 based a reported 730 score from a co-worker with two credit card with 9 months total reporting history. (Score came from Discover card statement - Cap One card 9 months old, Discover card 2 monts old). A few searches on MyFico forums showed 2 posters new to credit with scores in the 710 to 720 range. A 3rd poster new to credit reported a score in the "upper 700s" but did not explicitly state score was Fico 8. 1-2016

 

Card TypeCard #ScorecardOldestYoungest

Total accts

(revised 5/2016)

Score ceiling

(revised 5/2016)

clean1H-H-H1016850
clean2H-L-H10x6850
clean3H-H-L101x850
clean4L-H-Hx16820
clean5H-L-L10xx799
clean6L-H-Lx1x799
clean7L-L-Hxx6799
clean8L-L-Lxxx759
minor dirt9Hn/an/an/a759
minor dirt10Ln/an/an/a719
major dirt11Hn/an/an/a719
major dirt12Ln/an/an/a649

 

Edit add 2/2016: 

Note: Minimum score for any clean scorecard is guestimated as low as 580 if file is young & thin, multiple recently added cards are near 100% utilization and there are a bunch of relatively new hard inquiries.

 

Clean profiles (all combined) appear to span a score range of around 270 points (say 580 to 850) - estimate 200 point range for a specific clean scorecard

Dirty profiles (all combined) appear to span a much greater score range of around 440 points (say 320 to 760) - estimate 300 point range for a specific dirty scorecard

 

Refer to link below for a clean but thin and young profile (no lates/no badies) reporting a score drop from 705 to 609 due to high utilization with new cards.

 

http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Understanding-FICO-Scoring/lost-100-points-in-less-than-a-week/m-p/4...

 

Here is a 2nd link listing a score drop from 732 to 590 due to maxing out cards. Again, no missed payments or lates.

 

http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Credit-Cards/I-maxed-out-all-my-credit-cards/m-p/3490565#M964636

 

Edit - Add Fico 8 scorecard screen shot (4/2016)

 

Fico 8 Scorecards.jpg

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 5 of 27
DIYcredit
Frequent Contributor

Re: SCORECARDS?

 Thanks,  This is great.

Message 6 of 27
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: SCORECARDS?

Here are a couple links to scorecard info fro Equifax and TransUnion.

 

http://www.equifax.com/assets/USCIS/efx-00190_efx_fico.pdf

https://www.transunion.com/docs/financialServices/FS_ScoresOverview.pdf

 

 Here is a slide share from Fico on scorecards and a paste of some illustrative info from that presentation.

http://www.slideshare.net/FICO/building-powerful-predictive-scorecards

 

Fico - Segmentation.gif

 

Fico mini scorecard.gif

Fico binning info.gif

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 7 of 27
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: SCORECARDS?


@Thomas_Thumb wrote:

Indeed Fico 8 has 12 scorecards and Fico 4, 98 have 10 scorecards. In all cases 8 scorecards are for clean files. There are a number of published papers, such as the TransUnion Scores document, in addition to Liz Weston's book that speak to Fico and other model scorecards.

 

It is well known that certain factors, such as the # of cards reporting a balance, influence score differently depending on the credit profile. It is generally believed this relates, in part anyway, to what scorecard your profile is assigned. There are no published "score ceilings" for scorecards but there are strong indications ceilings exist.

 

Liz does state that scorecard assignment (for the 8 clean cards) takes number of accounts, age of accounts and age of youngest account into consideration.

 

Everything from here down is speculation on my part - so consider it accordingly [and I reserve the right to revise my hypothesis at any time based on new data]. Let's start with the premise that each of the three factors are given either a high (H) or low (L) rating. The 3 factors at two levels yields 8 combinations - same as # of clean scorecards.

 

Data suggests you can reach a score of 850 with an account less than 2 years old and no loans on file. It is unclear what the minimum # of accounts (open + closed) might be for still achieving a top score. Evidence continues to suggest 8 years AAoA may be required for a top score - perhaps 12 years for oldest account. At any rate, ability to achieve a top score as presented by many posters indicates multiple scorecards have an 850 potential. However, level of execution may need to be more rigorouis on lower scorecard assignments - Like a gymnastics routine that has all the manditory elements but a lesser degree of difficulty.

 

Anyway here is a hypothetical table for Fico 8. The ceilings and High/Low criteria are a guess on my part so don't assume they are based in fact.

 

Card TypeCard #ScorecardAAoAYoungestTotal acctsScore ceiling
clean1H-H-H8110850
clean2H-L-H8x10850
clean3H-H-L81x850
clean4L-H-Hx110820
clean5H-L-L8x10799
clean6L-H-Lx1x759
clean7L-L-Hxx10759
clean8L-L-Lxxx719
minor dirt9Hn/an/an/a759
minor dirt10Ln/an/an/a679
major dirt11Hn/an/an/a719
major dirt12Ln/an/an/a619

 

 


I'm curious what category I'd fall under.  I want to know my ceiling.  Also curious if I can change categories before my BK drops away.  I sure hope so!

 

I have a BK7 about to have it's 4th birthday of being DCed, and 4 IIBed cards(date of last activity about 5.5 yrs ago, average( that compise my derogs.

 

Non-derogs: A bunch of old student loans paid off.  1 open student loan.  1 closed overdraft account, satisfasctory, opn 2 of 3 bureaus.  1 10+ yr old AU card.

# 2 month aold bank cards, and a slew of store cards, 2 months old or less.  I'm really curious what score card I'm on.  That reminds me of a vegas fight! Smiley Wink  Any help would be appreciated, and I can answer more questions if needed.  Thank you 

 

Message 8 of 27
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: SCORECARDS?

CaptainJ - Wish I could answer that for you but, my table is speculative - I put it together mainly as an illustration.

 

I have no inside info from Fico on score card ceilings. Perhps I need to revise the column heading to better reflect the values ar "guestimates"

 

P.S. As things age up it is likely you can go from an L to an H scorecard. Once the bankruptcy drops off, you theoretically could also go from a Major to a Minor (assuming lesser derogs would still be on file) - If not, you would then jump to one of the clean score cards..

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 9 of 27
CreditDunce
Valued Contributor

Re: SCORECARDS?

I think the above slide share was excerpted from the following PDF:

http://www.fico.com/en/node/8140?file=7900

 

I skimmed through it several months ago.  IIRC, it looked like it was an introduction for someone learning how to use a tool that helped create scorecards.  I assumed it was used by some banks to help create internal scores based off a FICO score.  One important takeaway was multiple scorecards were applied to reach a final score.  As in, you are in multiple buckets at the same time.   In addition to Bank internal scores, the process may be how FICO creates the enhanced scores.  For example, they may take your FICO score, apply additional scorecards to get your auto enhanced FICO score.

 

However, I didn't read the document very closely.  My summary may be way off. 

Message 10 of 27
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