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Basic math for AMEX AF

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Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@Brian_Earl_Spilner wrote:

@notmyrealname23 he asked for basic amex math, not how to maximize his rewards to offset the fee. I posted the minimum spend to offset the AF at 1x, 4x, and if he used all of his dining credits.


She. 

But yes, I wanted the min possible conversion / math.  Which you provided.  I appreciate it Smiley Happy it's what I was looking for.  

I know there is ton of value based on usage and spend and all sorts of factors that are unique to every individual.  But basic math sometimes is how my brain works.  

Message 21 of 55
notmyrealname23
Established Contributor

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@Brian_Earl_Spilner wrote:


That loophole has been shut down. So, for me, it's wifi and drinks 


All I can say is I have multiple DPs on all the airlines I listed from April 2020. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Charles Schwab AMEX Platinum NPSL | Amex Platinum (I know) NPSL | Amex Gold NPSL | First Tech FCU Choice Rewards World MC 35k | AMEX Marriott Bonvoy Brilliant 18k | AMEX Hilton Aspire 17.5k | Chase Southwest Priority Visa 15.5k | Bilt Rewards MC 14k | Capital One Venture X 13k | Fidelity VISA Signature 11.5k | Citi Custom Cash 11.9k | Citi Premier 8.9k | Chase Freedom Unlimited 9k | SoFi MC World Elite 8k | Barclays AAdvantage Aviator Red 8k | Capital One SavorOne 7.5k | Amazon/Synchrony 7.5k | Citi Custom Cash 6.9k | PayPal Synchrony MC 6.4k | DiscoverIt Cashback 5k | Hotels.com 5k | Apple Card 3k | Target 800 | Ch 13 filed 12/13 discharged as paid 1/19
Message 22 of 55
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@notmyrealname23 wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

. Proving is the long way but the instant way for them to fall in love with you is really just cleaning up your profile (if it's got stuff they don't like).  

It is literally the long way because a) I have a Chapter 13 full discharge as paid that won't fall off until January 2021 (I can do some early expungements but that clock doesn't start until this July) and b) AMEX was involved in the Chapter 13 and only got 50 cents on the dollar (and they were owed a crooked digit five figure sum). Getting accepted back by them in Q1 for a charge card and a credit card without paying back and going through an Optima (spoiler: I was NEVER going to give them that other 50%, too many fish in the sea) was very much a Smiley Surprised "I didn't expect that" experience.

There isn't actually much I can do here except pay the bills and demonstrate I'm doing a good job of managing CLs while the clock ticks down; to be very honest I'm pretty close to a set of cards I can live with long term.


I see.  Sorry to hear Smiley Sad.  Hang in there. 

Time is the ultimate healer for you I guess.  

Message 23 of 55
notmyrealname23
Established Contributor

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@Anonymous wrote:


I see.  Sorry to hear Smiley Sad.  Hang in there. 

Time is the ultimate healer for you I guess.  


I came out in relatively good shape, honestly- at this point very little point in crying over spilt milk, just finish the job I started years ago. Thank you for the consideration.

FWIW, the math on those categories upthread ^^ is right (except AMEX Gold is "misc food stuff like Grubhub or Shake Shack" not Uber) but  AMEX Gold is a terrible card if all you want is cashback unless you are doing a LOT of spend. The breakeven on AMEX Gold cashback over using a 2% no annual fee cashback card is $76, 397.78 for unbonused 1x spend (assuming you get NO value from the credits), $19,099 for the 4x categories (dining/groceries... p.s: grocery cashback 4x bonus is capped at 25k, it's 1x after that).

Given that no annual fee cards are out there that give 3x on travel/dining that translate to 3% cashback (which moves those breakevens even FARTHER away in spend), I would argue nobody (but the biggest ballers) should be getting AMEX charge cards for simple cashback (the exception being the AMEX Platinum cobrands with Morgan Stanley/Charles Schwab, but that's another $550 AF you need to account for in the math). AMEX MR is for playing the premium travel game (it's a fun game, but it is not a game for everyone- I completely respect those who have zero interest in it and just want $). If you want cashback, Chase, Wells Fargo, any number of credit unions, Bank of America, Citi, Fidelity... very long list of better options. Heck, even AMEX's own cashback cards are better than the charge cards. Granted, they aren't shiny metal cards that go "clunk". Smiley Happy

Charles Schwab AMEX Platinum NPSL | Amex Platinum (I know) NPSL | Amex Gold NPSL | First Tech FCU Choice Rewards World MC 35k | AMEX Marriott Bonvoy Brilliant 18k | AMEX Hilton Aspire 17.5k | Chase Southwest Priority Visa 15.5k | Bilt Rewards MC 14k | Capital One Venture X 13k | Fidelity VISA Signature 11.5k | Citi Custom Cash 11.9k | Citi Premier 8.9k | Chase Freedom Unlimited 9k | SoFi MC World Elite 8k | Barclays AAdvantage Aviator Red 8k | Capital One SavorOne 7.5k | Amazon/Synchrony 7.5k | Citi Custom Cash 6.9k | PayPal Synchrony MC 6.4k | DiscoverIt Cashback 5k | Hotels.com 5k | Apple Card 3k | Target 800 | Ch 13 filed 12/13 discharged as paid 1/19
Message 24 of 55
simplynoir
Mega Contributor

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF

From what I'm understanding here if you're thinking too much about how you're going to at least break even on what is essentially a travel rewards card (even though the spend is geared towards everyday expenses) then you're better off getting a cashback card like @notmyrealname23 suggested. It's okay for a credit card to not fit your spend/redemptions

Message 25 of 55
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF

Since I have the BCP for grocery spend, the gold doesn't get used in that category. So i only use it for dining, even still I would prefer the 6% CB as opposed to trying to convert 4X MR into redeemable cash. For me the Gold doesn't offer enough categories to get rid of 1- 2 other cards and maximize the MRs on it. And even if it did, we're still in the low coversion rate to cash so i wouldn't want an all in one for MR unless I was able to redeem for travel.

 

My only wish is that all these points and miles I'm sitting on do not get devalued during this whole ****storm. I was looking at a fairly nice vacation in May/June in Japan with almost no Airfare cost and a big siscoiunton lodging. All that went out the window when this happend.

Looking to the future and wondering when/if I ever will be able to go, and what kind of hassles it comes with in the aftermath.

 

 

Message 26 of 55
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@notmyrealname23 wrote:

@Brian_Earl_Spilner wrote:


That loophole has been shut down. So, for me, it's wifi and drinks 


All I can say is I have multiple DPs on all the airlines I listed from April 2020. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


I would like to add that this loophole is not shut down. I used it myself on March 6th for Delta and my friend in the military used his early last week (don't know which airline). I think Brian is thinking about the old school gift card method that was used for ages with the specific denominations you had to get.

Message 27 of 55
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@Brian_Earl_Spilner wrote:

@notmyrealname23 he asked for basic amex math, not how to maximize his rewards to offset the fee. I posted the minimum spend to offset the AF at 1x, 4x, and if he used all of his dining credits.


RIght, but that was really my earlier point.   If you are cashing out at 0.6c per MR, on dining and restaurants you are getting 2.4c per $ and there are free cards that do better, so you shouldn't be paying the AF for this card at all.

Message 28 of 55
notmyrealname23
Established Contributor

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF


@Anonymous wrote:

Since I have the BCP for grocery spend, the gold doesn't get used in that category. So i only use it for dining, even still I would prefer the 6% CB as opposed to trying to convert 4X MR into redeemable cash. For me the Gold doesn't offer enough categories to get rid of 1- 2 other cards and maximize the MRs on it. And even if it did, we're still in the low coversion rate to cash so i wouldn't want an all in one for MR unless I was able to redeem for travel.

 

My only wish is that all these points and miles I'm sitting on do not get devalued during this whole ****storm. I was looking at a fairly nice vacation in May/June in Japan with almost no Airfare cost and a big siscoiunton lodging. All that went out the window when this happend.

Looking to the future and wondering when/if I ever will be able to go, and what kind of hassles it comes with in the aftermath.

 

 


Very sensible. I'm fine with MR/Hilton/other accumulation in loyalty programs right now because I have expensive tastes. Smiley Wink

Charles Schwab AMEX Platinum NPSL | Amex Platinum (I know) NPSL | Amex Gold NPSL | First Tech FCU Choice Rewards World MC 35k | AMEX Marriott Bonvoy Brilliant 18k | AMEX Hilton Aspire 17.5k | Chase Southwest Priority Visa 15.5k | Bilt Rewards MC 14k | Capital One Venture X 13k | Fidelity VISA Signature 11.5k | Citi Custom Cash 11.9k | Citi Premier 8.9k | Chase Freedom Unlimited 9k | SoFi MC World Elite 8k | Barclays AAdvantage Aviator Red 8k | Capital One SavorOne 7.5k | Amazon/Synchrony 7.5k | Citi Custom Cash 6.9k | PayPal Synchrony MC 6.4k | DiscoverIt Cashback 5k | Hotels.com 5k | Apple Card 3k | Target 800 | Ch 13 filed 12/13 discharged as paid 1/19
Message 29 of 55
budugu
Regular Contributor

Re: Basic math for AMEX AF

TLDR - MR is not easy. If you dont value the "perks or credits or cs", literally every other card will be better! 

amex - plat + bcp, Apple Card, Citi Prestige (AU)
Message 30 of 55
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