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Is Amex in decline?

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espnjunkie
Established Contributor

Re: Is Amex in decline?

Yeah Amex green is my first prime card, but I figure by winter this year I will have ten months or so of solid history with AMEX and my longest account will be 1.5 years old. History is still kinda short, but there are no other real reasons for them not to accept me. I am not going to use MR points on my green card for anything but saving for miles, so why am I going to bother keeping the green open and pay a higher annual fee? Plus you can use 1,000 star points and get 50% off the rack rate at Starwwod hotels.

“The real measure of your wealth is how much you’d be worth if you lost all your money.” ~Unknown
Citi Prestige World Elite Mastercard ($35,000.00), Merrill+ Visa Signature ($25,000.00), Amex BCP ($29,700.00), Amex Green (NPSL), Capital One Quicksilver World Mastercard ($10,000.00), Chase Ink Business Bold (NPSL)
TU-778 (12/03/2014))
EX (Plus) - 777 (10/21/2013)
EQ - 735 (April 2013)
Message 41 of 72
Open123
Super Contributor

Re: Is Amex in decline?


@espnjunkie wrote:

I believe that AMEX charge card products may be in decline, especially with the younger generation. The annual fees for most of the charge card products are significantly higher than competing lenders charge. I plan on keeping my Green card for a year and then applying for Starwood Preferred Guest Amex. 



In my view, the Green exists only as an inconic reminder and the card for those Amex cardholders downgrading from their Platinums and Centurion from the 70s and 80s.  

 

They no longer travel, and don't need the rewards/perks offered by the higher fee cards.  The standard Gold and Green have very little value.  On the other hand, the PR Gold is great for a corporate exec travelling frequently with the airline accelerator and the 15k bonus at the $30k spending threshold.  This is a great value, but ONLY if one spends a considerable amount on airlines, and is sure to meet the $30k spending requirement.

 

I can't think of a single thing where the Green is better than the SPG.  Maybe exclusive ticket privileges?  But, even here, the "best" tickets are reserved for Platinum members and above.

 

Conversely, combined with a full MR business card (where the fee is expensed) the Zync as a personal card is a trememdous value.  2X MR points earned is more valuable than a single SPG point, or about equal.  

 

I really see NO reason to opt for a Green/Gold over a Zync, especially since you can get points faster, pay much less, and have all of the points upgraded to full MR status when you're ready to travel.  If one never travels, then having MR points is kind of pointless.

Message 42 of 72
Open123
Super Contributor

Re: Is Amex in decline?


@Anonymous wrote:

This was in 1980... and you think Amex is in decline now?

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZF-U9nL9Ios

 

The American Express strapline in Britain at the time was "That'll do nicely sir".

 

Mike


LOL...this just makes me want to cut up my card!

Message 43 of 72
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Is Amex in decline?

 


@Open123 wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

This was in 1980... and you think Amex is in decline now?

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZF-U9nL9Ios

 

The American Express strapline in Britain at the time was "That'll do nicely sir".

 

Mike


LOL...this just makes me want to cut up my card!



I should, of course, add that this was a Not The Nine O'Clock News spoof. You might recognise the characters from early in their careers.

Message 44 of 72
Open123
Super Contributor

Re: Is Amex in decline?

And, just to give people an idea, you need at least 60,000 MR points for anything good (frequent flyer miles).  30,000 MR to a ff may get you a coach flight, but 60k - 70k will redeem for an off peak business to Europe or Asia.

 

So, if you have a card with no accelerator or bonuses, you have to spend $60k for 60,000 MR points.  Unless you have Centurion spending, getting only one MR point/dollar spent without promos or bonuses will never net you anything of worth on the MR program.

 

 

Message 45 of 72
espnjunkie
Established Contributor

Re: Is Amex in decline?

True, that's why I like the SPG 5,000 point bonus for transfering 20,000 points. Although if you shop online the amex website does have a bunch of 3X points deals. Hotels, rental cars, etc, so if you book through that you do get significantly more points. Hmmmm I am tempted to go for SPG at the 6 month mark and it would only be a soft if denied right?

“The real measure of your wealth is how much you’d be worth if you lost all your money.” ~Unknown
Citi Prestige World Elite Mastercard ($35,000.00), Merrill+ Visa Signature ($25,000.00), Amex BCP ($29,700.00), Amex Green (NPSL), Capital One Quicksilver World Mastercard ($10,000.00), Chase Ink Business Bold (NPSL)
TU-778 (12/03/2014))
EX (Plus) - 777 (10/21/2013)
EQ - 735 (April 2013)
Message 46 of 72
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Is Amex in decline?


@espnjunkie wrote:

True, that's why I like the SPG 5,000 point bonus for transfering 20,000 points. Although if you shop online the amex website does have a bunch of 3X points deals. Hotels, rental cars, etc, so if you book through that you do get significantly more points. Hmmmm I am tempted to go for SPG at the 6 month mark and it would only be a soft if denied right?


YMMV.

 

Try to get the best promo there offering at the time if you cant app in Sept.

Message 47 of 72
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Is Amex in decline?


@drsmith wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

@drsmith wrote:

Obviously product quality means something to me. That's why if Ferreira cut their prices by hundreds of thousands I would suspect they are in a hole, and are trying to cash in on their brand for people who couldn't afford the real thing.



I wasn't suggesting that they cut their prices.  I was talking about production of an entirely new model, one that isn't currently in existence.  Something to compete in the ~$50k market. 


You're missing the point.

 

What makes Ferrari what it is, is exclusivity and rarity. Making one for the average consumer takes away from the higher end ones. Lots of people can afford a $50k, not many can spend 6 figures. The stallion logo would be everywhere, and thus, less exclusive and impressive.


I think you're both sort of missing the point... Exclusivity has it's merits but Ferrari will never produce an affordable car because it goes against their core principles. It took Enzo and the gang almost 20 years of before they even produced or sold a street legal car. They only did that to help fund their racing ambitions. It's also impossible to produce something with the same level of craftsmanship as a Ferrari and make it affordable.

 

That said, if you want a Ferrari for the masses then buy a Fiat 

 

 

 

Back to the original topic. No, I don't think it's in decline. 

Message 48 of 72
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Is Amex in decline?


@espnjunkie wrote:

Yeah Amex green is my first prime card, but I figure by winter this year I will have ten months or so of solid history with AMEX and my longest account will be 1.5 years old. History is still kinda short, but there are no other real reasons for them not to accept me. I am not going to use MR points on my green card for anything but saving for miles, so why am I going to bother keeping the green open and pay a higher annual fee? Plus you can use 1,000 star points and get 50% off the rack rate at Starwwod hotels.


I'm staying away from this discussion of who Amex should/should not accept b/c the whole thing reeks of elitism but I wanted to address my dissapointment with the SPG card. I applied for it after hearing everyone over at FT and all the travel blogs rave about it. Got a great CL and APR but the benefits are not as good as them seem off the bat.

 

-The AF is currently $65 but as recently as a few years ago it was only $35 or 40. That is almost a 100% jump in AF with no justifiable increase in benefits to match it. Who is to say that they don't up in again in the near future? Even at $65, there are competitive hotel cards that give elite status, free night certificates annually, no foreign transaction fees, etc. that SPG does not.

 

-For a hotel card that charges a premium AF, it amazes me that they still charge a 2.7% forex fee even if you use it at Starwood properties overseas. That completely offsets any benefit you would gain from using the card outside domestic properties.

 

-SPG advertises no black out dates for reward nights but it only applies to "standard rooms," once those rooms are gone so is availability for free nights or C&P.

 

-If you do some research there has been the slow and steady issue of category creep. Starwood has not changed the point values needed to redeem a room, they've just added higher categories and slowly moved hotels to higher categories effectively increasing the points needed for redemption. There is a lot of talk over at FT now since NYC was completely devalued this year due to category creep.

 

-There are usually cheaper hotel options in any given city than the comparable Starwood hotel. Just searching Expedia, Priceline, etc. and I have been able to find deals that trump the 2.3% return on my SPG card. Furthermore a lot of hotels no longer charge extra for WIFI or breakfast, but Starwood full service properties largely still do.

 

-The 50% off certificates are pretty useless. It is 50% off the rack rate which is outrageously inflated. I tried booking one of these and it ended up that the best available rate was still cheaper.

 

I think the saving grace of the Starwood card, and what most at FT do outside C&P redemptions is transfer to FF partners. Since you need to spend $20K to collect the 25% transfer bonus, it is logical that this card is most effectively used by high spenders. From what I understand airline miles have the highest value when redeeming for premium tickets rather than domestic economy anyways.

Message 49 of 72
Open123
Super Contributor

Re: Is Amex in decline?


@espnjunkie wrote:

True, that's why I like the SPG 5,000 point bonus for transfering 20,000 points. Although if you shop online the amex website does have a bunch of 3X points deals. Hotels, rental cars, etc, so if you book through that you do get significantly more points. Hmmmm I am tempted to go for SPG at the 6 month mark and it would only be a soft if denied right?


Yeah, the SPG is better in every way, even a better frequent mile card transferring to more airlines and at higher rates.  The "cash + point" option on SPG properties convert at very high ratios.

 

And, you get 10k spg point bonus, and an addition 15k bonus when spending 5k in 6 months.  This is a pretty good promo considering the spend requirement is usually $15k in 6 months.

 

Yes, if denied, it would only be a soft.  I'd be tempted to apply in about 3 months.  I really think you'd be much better off with the SPG + promos than the Green.

Message 50 of 72
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