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I'm consdering getting a low interest secured loan (e.g. from Alliant) to pay off a credit card balance and possibly finance a purchase. The appeal is that I can get this loan without a hard inquiry (and the interest rate is only a little higher than other financing I'd consider for the purchase). The loan would be reported to credit bureaus.
Taking that into account, how would the loan likely affect my credit score in the short term?
In the long term I'd anticipate it helping my score because I have a low number of total accounts and no current installment loans. I'd also anticipate it helping my score in the short term by virtue of reducing my too-high credit card utilization, but what I'm asking about is how the new loan would _directly_ impact my short term credit score (pretend I'm not using it to decrease my credit card utilization) so I can guesstimate what the net effect would be. Also, would the balance be a factor?
Thanks!
Welcome to the forums!
You ask whether the balance of the loan matters. The amount you initially borrow does not matter -- most people chose a five-year $500 loan who are using the technique you are talking about. But the amount you owe after that matters a lot. What you want to do is to pay off almost all of it in the first month or two, so that the amount you owe is < 9%. If the initial loan was $500, that would be paying it down to $44. Then you keep the loan open for the full five years.
The other question you ask is what affect it will have on your score short term. Assuming you pay it down as indicated above, you will get a bonus of 30 points. That's what most people report. The actual number will vary. It might be between 25 and 38 points, depending on your profile and depending on the particular credit bureau.
Note also that the bonus we are talking about is for FICO 8. Very little test data has been reported for the impact on FICO 9 (though it probably helps). With respect to one's mortgage scores (which uses very old FICO models) it helps the EX model a good deal. My guess is that because you have never had any installment loan open or closed it would also help EQ and TU (mortgage scores) though likely not a lot.
This thread (first three posts) will walk you through the theory and practice of the SS loan technique.
Thanks for your reply and welcome @CreditGuyInDixie!
Yeah, I was actually asking about the balance in the other direction though. Like if the loan will result in a short term decrease in score and if a higher balance will result in a larger decrease in score.
I wouldn't be taking out the loan just to (or even primarily to) use that technique. I'd primarily be taking it out to pay off credit card balance to reduce utilization and pay it off at lower interest and possibly to finance a purchase instead of using a form of financing that would require a hard inquiry. And if I was going to pay down 91% of the loan in the first month or two there'd be little point -- I'd just pay down the credit card balance directly. But, as an added bonus, in the longer term I thought the loan might improve my score by increasing my mix of credit and number of accounts (since I hardly have any open now [2], and not very many total [5]).
So I'm asking about the short term effect of getting a loan for say $5-10k and actually using it as such. I wouldn't necessarily take it for a term as long as 5 years or take that long to pay the loan back, FWIW.
I have had an installment loan. I had student loans that closed in 2011 and are still on my report, but I don't have any current installment loans.
Thanks for the link, I've read that before and that's indeed where I got the idea.
@Anonymous wrote:I'm consdering getting a low interest secured loan (e.g. from Alliant) to pay off a credit card balance and possibly finance a purchase. The appeal is that I can get this loan without a hard inquiry (and the interest rate is only a little higher than other financing I'd consider for the purchase). The loan would be reported to credit bureaus.
Taking that into account, how would the loan likely affect my credit score in the short term?
In the long term I'd anticipate it helping my score because I have a low number of total accounts and no current installment loans. I'd also anticipate it helping my score in the short term by virtue of reducing my too-high credit card utilization, but what I'm asking about is how the new loan would _directly_ impact my short term credit score (pretend I'm not using it to decrease my credit card utilization) so I can guesstimate what the net effect would be. Also, would the balance be a factor?
Thanks!
There will be several effects tugging in opposite directions on your FICO 8 score. There will be upward pressure from your adding your first open installment loan, but downward pressure from a loan reporting that is at a high percentage utilization. Different profiles react differently but I would estimate that a typical profile would drop 15 to 20 points in FICO 8 at first, but by the time the loan was paid back to 9% utilization would have made up those points and added 10 or 15.
Well, let's see. A new loan has a possible effect on a number of factors. As far as I can tell it affects these:
Average Age of Accounts
Age of youngest account
Installment utilization
Credit Mix
The first two factors would be more "negatives" than anything else. I.e. if they were to have an impact, it would be to lower your score. But they might not.
AAoA is the easiest one to look at. Calculate your AAoA now. (Let us know if you don't know how to do that.) Then do it again based on the scenario where you add a new account. Remember that closed and open accounts count the same for FICO's age factors.
Can you tell us what the two numbers are? You should also consider both scenarios and see with each one one what month you would cross over AAoA = 2 years. People seem to feel hear that this may be the earliest significant breakpoint for AAoA.
Age of youngest account is less clear cut, but you will probably see some benefit when your youngest account turns 1.0 years -- though with thin young profiles that may be a little harder to predict.
Installment Utilization is a factor from the heavily weighted Amounst Owed category. Right now you have no open loans, so you are getting no scoring points from this factor. If you get the loan your describe, you will also get no scoring points from this category, at least for quite some time, because your IU will be so high. You will get some scoring benefit when you get closer to paying it off, but when you do pay it off you will be back to no scoring benefit.
Credit Mix is less clear to me in your case. You already have a closed installment loan in good standing on your profile. I am not sure there's been clear proof that an open installment loan at > 91% installment utilization helps you more than a closed installment loan, so it may be that purely from the perspective of Credit Mix you are already in good shape.
Some of the drawbacks to your plan is that you will be paying interest on the loan, whereas from a purely financial perspective you'd be be paying no interest if you simply used the cash that you would otherwise be using to secure the loan to pay off the CC debt.
Here's a solution that may get you the best of both worlds.
(1) Use the SS loan technique now. By early March, you will have an extra 30 points to your score, and almost all of the initial $500 will be unlocked, since the Aliant loan will be almost entirely paid off.
(2) Use all your cash to pay off your CC debt.
Or you could reverse the two steps.
PS. I do feel like an Alliant loan is a good idea for you, because your profile is so very thin. Adding more accounts (when one has a thin profile) is a good thing. ("Total number of accounts" is one of the three factors used in scorecard assignment, for one reason.)
Thanks for your reply @SouthJamaica! My understanding is that utilization of installment credit has much lower score impact than for revolving credit, so I was thinking the main downward impact would be based on having a hard inquiry (if there is one) and affect on average age of accounts. I appreciate your estimate of how it would affect score. That's more than I would've guessed, though it's possible that even so the short term increase in score from other things would result in enough net gain that it would make sense for me. I'd be planning a pretty long timeline to have it paid down to 9%.
Thanks again for your reply @CreditGuyInDixie. BTW, when I posted before I didn't realize that you wrote that thread you linked to about the share secure loans, so thanks for posting that. As I mentioned, that's indeed where I got the idea (I wasn't really even familiar with that kind of loan before).
According to CreditKarma, my average age of accounts is 11 Years, 3 Months, but they say they average the age of open credit accounts (2). How would you say to calculate it?
Installment utilization is scored much lower than revolving utilization, right?
That's an interesting insight about credit mix, thanks.
> Some of the drawbacks to your plan is that you will be paying interest on the loan, whereas from a purely financial perspective you'd be be paying no interest if you simply used the cash that you would otherwise be using to secure the loan to pay off the CC debt.
That's true. It'd be low interest though.
Re: #1 -- I think paying off my credit card would give me enough of an increase in score, so if I'm going to do that with cash I don't think there'd be much incentive to do a secured loan just for score increase.
My main interest is in getting my score into the excellent range to be able to apply for a mortgage in the not distant future (http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Mortgage-Loans/Specifically-how-does-applying-for-new-credit-prior-t...). I guess if I actually do apply in the near future there wouldn't be much point to having a secured loan to pay off the credit card since I wouldn't be able to apply those funds to down payment, etc. anyway, and it'd be better to have applied for no new "credit".
If I was going to apply for new credit I guess a credit card with a good balance transfer offer would make more sense for dealing with my current credit card utililization because I could hold on to more cash to apply to house purchase expenses sooner and get some credit score help from increasing my available credit limit and lowering my overall utilization.
My comments below in green.
@Anonymous wrote:@Anonymous for your reply @SouthJamaica! My understanding is that utilization of installment credit has much lower score impact than for revolving credit, so I was thinking the main downward impact would be based on having a hard inquiry (if there is one) and affect on average age of accounts. I appreciate your estimate of how it would affect score. That's more than I would've guessed, though it's possible that even so the short term increase in score from other things would result in enough net gain that it would make sense for me. I'd be planning a pretty long timeline to have it paid down to 9%.
@Anonymous again for your reply @Anonymous. BTW, when I posted before I didn't realize that you wrote that thread you linked to about the share secure loans, so thanks for posting that. As I mentioned, that's indeed where I got the idea (I wasn't really even familiar with that kind of loan before).
According to CreditKarma, my average age of accounts is 11 Years, 3 Months, but they say they average the age of open credit accounts (2). How would you say to calculate it?
Karma is wrong. Closed accounts count too. Funnily enough, even the scoring model Karma uses (VantageScore 3.0) counts closed accounts in its age-based factors. The summary software that Karma uses to show users their AAoA dates back many years ago, back when Karma was not using Vantage 3.
The way you calculate your AAoA is to compute how old (in months) each account is. That's the difference between today and the date it was opened. Date closed doesn't matter. Add up all those months. Then divide by the total number of accounts. So if you had 4 accounts that added up to 100 months, that would be an AAoA of 25 months, or just over 2 years. The final number is always a number of years. So in that example you'd have an AAoA just a little bit more than 2.0.
Installment utilization is scored much lower than revolving utilization, right?
I don't know what that question means. Are you asking whether installment utilization has a smaller impact on one's score than revolving utilization? If that's what you mean, then yes that is definitely true. Still IU is part of the Amounts Owed category (which is 30% of your score) so it can definitely have a real impact.
That's an interesting insight about credit mix, thanks.
> Some of the drawbacks to your plan is that you will be paying interest on the loan, whereas from a purely financial perspective you'd be be paying no interest if you simply used the cash that you would otherwise be using to secure the loan to pay off the CC debt.
That's true. It'd be low interest though.
Re: #1 -- I think paying off my credit card would give me enough of an increase in score, so if I'm going to do that with cash I don't think there'd be much incentive to do a secured loan just for score increase.
It depends on what incentive you need. The score increase you will get from the SSL technique is about 30 points. If that is not much incentive, then of course don't do it. You explain further down that your interest is in buying a house. The TU and EQ mortgage models don't give you any benefit from a low IU, so I would not push the idea of an SSL in your case.
My main interest is in getting my score into the excellent range to be able to apply for a mortgage in the not distant future (http://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Mortgage-Loans/Specifically-how-does-applying-for-new-credit-prior-to-mortgage/td-p/4862152). I guess if I actually do apply in the near future there wouldn't be much point to having a secured loan to pay off the credit card since I wouldn't be able to apply those funds to down payment, etc. anyway, and it'd be better to have applied for no new "credit".
If I was going to apply for new credit I guess a credit card with a good balance transfer offer would make more sense for dealing with my current credit card utililization because I could hold on to more cash to apply to house purchase expenses sooner and get some credit score help from increasing my available credit limit and lowering my overall utilization.
You may wish to try to learn more about how CC debt works. If you open a new credit card and transfer all your CC debt to that card, you will not have altered your CC debt at all. You will have just placed it on a new card. Indeed, since all the debt would be on one card, would would likely be close to be being maxxed out, that approach would likely harm your score (though it is true that the additional CL would lower your total utilization to some extent).
Since you want to buy a house in the next two months, you should avoid trying to play complex games with your cards and scores and just do straightforward stuff. No new accounts. Pay all your cards to zero except one, on which you should leave a small balance (e.g. $20). If you cannot afford to do that, then pay the remaining card down as low as you can. You should definitely aim to make sure that your remaining card is at < 29% of its remaining credit limit and you should also aim to have your total utilization at < 8.9% if you can. Having as many $0 balances on your cards is a good idea -- the mortgage scoring models like that a lot.