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Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints

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Anonymous
Not applicable

Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints

Just wanted to post this information. Recently closed the only open installment loan on my report (prior to closing was at 2% aggregate) and the effect was -44pts on EQ and -28pts EX.

EQ FICO8: 762 to 718
EQF9: 801 to 767
EQ Auto8: 751 to 695
EQ Auto5: 753 to 757
EQ Mortgage: 751 to 753

 

***UPDATE 10/1/2018****

New loan reported to EQ and TU at 100% AG and I continue to lose points. Lost 10 points and 12 points on EQ and TU respectively. Makes no sense because I have no other open installment loans.

EXFico8: 732 to 704

TU Fico8: UNK right now

Anyone wish to take a guess at how many points I can claw back if I open a new installment loan?

Message 1 of 20
19 REPLIES 19
SouthJamaica
Mega Contributor

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints


@Anonymous wrote:
Just wanted to post this information. Recently closed the only open installment loan on my report (prior to closing was at 2% aggregate) and the effect was -44pts on EQ and -28pts EX.

EQ FICO8: 762 to 718
EQF9: 801 to 767
EQ Auto8: 751 to 695
EQ Auto5: 753 to 757
EQ Mortgage: 751 to 753

EXFico8: 732 to 704

TU Fico8: UNK right now

Anyone wish to take a guess at how many points I can claw back if I open a new installment loan?

A few points less than 44 on EQ and 28 on EX (if you pay it down to 9% before it reports).

 

But bear in mind that in doing so, you will be affecting yourself negatively in terms of (a) inquiries (b) average age of accounts (c) age of newest account.

 

Here are the links on  how losing the loan and replacing the loan affected my scores:

 

https://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Understanding-FICO-Scoring/Loan-payoff-effect-across-FICO-spectrum/m-p/5290372#M141516

 

https://ficoforums.myfico.com/t5/Understanding-FICO-Scoring/Adding-paid-down-loan-is-rocket-fuel-to-TU-FICO-8/m-p/5317130

 

 


Total revolving limits 568220 (504020 reporting) FICO 8: EQ 689 TU 691 EX 682




Message 2 of 20
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints


@Anonymous wrote:
Just wanted to post this information. Recently closed the only open installment loan on my report (prior to closing was at 2% aggregate) and the effect was -44pts on EQ and -28pts EX.

EQ FICO8: 762 to 718
EQF9: 801 to 767
EQ Auto8: 751 to 695
EQ Auto5: 753 to 757
EQ Mortgage: 751 to 753

EXFico8: 732 to 704

TU Fico8: UNK right now

Anyone wish to take a guess at how many points I can claw back if I open a new installment loan?

Nice data.

More examples showing  how Classic Fico 04 and its industry enhanced counterpart disregard open/closed loan status in scoring.

 

Side notes:

EQ Fico score 5 = EQ Fico 04 model, TU Fico sore 4 = TU Fico 04 model, EX Fico score 2 = EX Fico 98 model, EX Fico score 3 = EX Fico 04 mdel.

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 3 of 20
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints

Thanks! Ill post the TU score drops when it updates. I was startled to say the least ....to go from 762 FICO8 to 718 is just heartbreaking. Thats essentially the entire "credit mix" bucket being lost. I guess I can hope to gain back 10 to 20 points if and when I take out a new car loan or SSL.
Message 4 of 20
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints


@Anonymous wrote:
Thanks! Ill post the TU score drops when it updates. I was startled to say the least ....to go from 762 FICO8 to 718 is just heartbreaking. Thats essentially the entire "credit mix" bucket being lost. I guess I can hope to gain back 10 to 20 points if and when I take out a new car loan or SSL.

I would be *very* interested to see your score shift if you tack on an installment loan without prepaying it first, and then when talking SSL make the well-known paydown to the <9% to try to tease out how credit mix really is calculated on FICO 8.

 

We throw credit mix around a little loosely with FICO 8 but I don't think we've really seen if it's just counting open loans or if that's another part of the algorithm.  Sadly it's hard to isolate and as such not sure it's relevant but it is interesting.  The problem is unless you (as a clean file) have another recent account you might get re-bucketed as a result of the new account and that can throw off the score tracking.

 

Wasn't something I could really test myself, found that installment utilization made a difference right before my mortgage and once that landed my reindeer game playing came to an abrupt end.  Though in 6 months if I don't make any additional payments I cross the 80% line on my mortgage as the higher tier breakpoint has been pretty elusive in that different people have reported different results.




        
Message 5 of 20
SouthJamaica
Mega Contributor

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints


@Revelate wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:
Thanks! Ill post the TU score drops when it updates. I was startled to say the least ....to go from 762 FICO8 to 718 is just heartbreaking. Thats essentially the entire "credit mix" bucket being lost. I guess I can hope to gain back 10 to 20 points if and when I take out a new car loan or SSL.

I would be *very* interested to see your score shift if you tack on an installment loan without prepaying it first, and then when talking SSL make the well-known paydown to the <9% to try to tease out how credit mix really is calculated on FICO 8.

 

We throw credit mix around a little loosely with FICO 8 but I don't think we've really seen if it's just counting open loans or if that's another part of the algorithm.  Sadly it's hard to isolate and as such not sure it's relevant but it is interesting.  The problem is unless you (as a clean file) have another recent account you might get re-bucketed as a result of the new account and that can throw off the score tracking.

 

Wasn't something I could really test myself, found that installment utilization made a difference right before my mortgage and once that landed my reindeer game playing came to an abrupt end.  Though in 6 months if I don't make any additional payments I cross the 80% line on my mortgage as the higher tier breakpoint has been pretty elusive in that different people have reported different results.


My experience with losing the installment loan and replacing it was that the EX and EQ mortgage scores did not react at all, while the TU mortgage score reacted like the FICO 8 models but with 20-25% of the strength... e.g. 34 points in TU FICO 8, 62 points in Auto 8, and 42 points in Bankcard8 translated to about 8 points in TU FICO 4.


Total revolving limits 568220 (504020 reporting) FICO 8: EQ 689 TU 691 EX 682




Message 6 of 20
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints


@Revelate wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:
Thanks! Ill post the TU score drops when it updates. I was startled to say the least ....to go from 762 FICO8 to 718 is just heartbreaking. Thats essentially the entire "credit mix" bucket being lost. I guess I can hope to gain back 10 to 20 points if and when I take out a new car loan or SSL.

I would be *very* interested to see your score shift if you tack on an installment loan without prepaying it first, and then when talking SSL make the well-known paydown to the <9% to try to tease out how credit mix really is calculated on FICO 8.

 

We throw credit mix around a little loosely with FICO 8 but I don't think we've really seen if it's just counting open loans or if that's another part of the algorithm.  Sadly it's hard to isolate and as such not sure it's relevant but it is interesting.  The problem is unless you (as a clean file) have another recent account you might get re-bucketed as a result of the new account and that can throw off the score tracking.

 

Wasn't something I could really test myself, found that installment utilization made a difference right before my mortgage and once that landed my reindeer game playing came to an abrupt end.  Though in 6 months if I don't make any additional payments I cross the 80% line on my mortgage as the higher tier breakpoint has been pretty elusive in that different people have reported different results.


Thats my plan! My new 3rd negative reason code is "no open loans".  Once I open the loan it should morph to "too high balances on loans" and then I can pay it down to 8%

Message 7 of 20
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Installment Loan Score Drop Datapoints

See my update in Post #1 as well.

 

So, my new loan is now appearing on TU and EQ. Result from the addition of the loan (reporting as 1 month old 100% balance even though I have made 1 payment)

 

EQ - 12 point drop

TU - 10 point drop

 

I dont understand  - after my first loan closed (it was less than 8% AG so I was getting max score benefit) I lost around 40 points and my negative reason code became "No open installment loans non mortgage" and now as soon as I added a loan it changed to "Balances on loans too high". It makes no sense because I am already experiencing the max "New Credit" dings because I have 3 other accounts that are 1 to 2 months old. My AAoA did not cross any thresholds. There was no Inquiry on EQ and the inq from TU is now 2 months old. Nothing else has changed. Clean file.

Message 8 of 20
Anonymous
Not applicable

When will my score recover from Loan Addition

Long story short, I have a clean file with around 2.7yrs AAoA and 13 year oldest account. My only open installment loan closed last month and I lost 30 to 45 points depending on the bureau in question (no other changes)..

So, I just added a personal loan and it just reported at 100% AG. Previously my negative reason codes were "no open non mortgage loans" yet I still lost 10 to 12 points per bureau (only one bureau got hit with the Inq but it was 2 months ago)

 

The account opening date was in August.

 

Question is why did I get a ding instead of a boost and when will I start to see an increase?  at <99% AG? The loan is reporting 100% even though I made a payment and is reflected on my statement.

 

Other DP's:

New accounts last 1 to 2 months:  3

Clean File

No other open loans

10% Util

AAoA 2.7yrs

No new inq's or other accts

No other changes

 

In other words, the ding is directly related to the addition of the loan.

Message 9 of 20
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: When will my score recover from Loan Addition

You are right on the cusp of your total CC utilization hurting you.  The breakpoint is 8.99% and you are at 10%.  If your total CC util went from under 8.99% to 9.01% during this time you would have experienced a significant score penalty.  (9.01% is considered by FICO to be 10%.)

 

The breakpoints for individual CC utilization are 28.99%, 48.99%, 68.99%, etc.  Given that your total U is 10%, you might well have crossed from (say) 27% to 29% on any particular card.  If you had, you would be hit with an additional scoring penalty.

 

So you should not be certain that the score drop could only have been caused by the new loan.

 

It's possible, however, that the new account (whether it was a loan or not) might have caused some damage.  The factor you should be interested in most in this respect is Age of Youngest Account.  Your AoYA is now 1 month.  What was it before the new loan appeared?  If it was 12 months or greater, then you might well experience a substantial drop.  Even if it had been 6 months you might well have received a penalty by going to 1 month.

 

We would also be interested in what your AAoA was shortly before the new account appeared.

 

Could you circle back with the answers to all these questions?  (Precise changes in total and individual revolving U, changes in AoYA and AAoA, etc.)

 

EDIT:  Less important but also of interest would be how many open revolving accounts you have, how many of these cards were reporting a positive balance a couple months ago, and how many were reporting a balance after the score drop.  If you have five cards total, had one reporting a balance a few months ago and now four are reporting a balance, that could cause a score drop even if your total util went down.

Message 10 of 20
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