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Well a "new account" averages 27 months.
A recent derog is most crucial in the first 12 months. The new, the worse it affects you. If it is a late and you get current, it will dissipate over time especially at each "birthday" and 4 years being the big time frame, because of the "FICO high achievers" those who have a late, it has been 4 or more years on average.