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@Thomas_Thumb wrote:
I am considering dropping CC use to 2 from 4 between now and then to "maximize" potential. Can't go below 2 cards used as one is joint for household purchases and I need to use a personal card for other purchases.
@Thomas_Thumb wrote:
Short term, my plan is to let the one inquiry age off the EQ report, reduce spending to two cards and then see how all 19 scores are affected - assuming the report format does not change between now and late August.
I’m with you on reporting two balances for some months. We have a joint Visa, for years our only card actually, which at this time is used for a convenience check. For actual charges, DW and I are using Freedom and Sapphire respectively. (We are also using an Amex, but that’s zeroed by the statement date.)
The purpose of it all is to be reminded of which credit agencies use the Visa for utilization and which don’t and whether FICO 08 is different from FICO 04. The agencies stop using cards for utilization once the credit limit is beyond a given threshold, somewhere around $35K-$50K (no one really knows how much for each agency), and our Visa is in that range.
So when the Freedom is zeroed, the Visa does great on EQ and TU, but on EX results in “There is no recent balances on your revolving credit accounts.” For both FICO 04 and FICO 08, it turns out.
Returning to your four cards for regular use, I think there’s a considerable correlation between one’s AAoA and the ratio of cards you can let report balances without lowering your scores!
@Revelate wrote:Well if you're game for doing some testing
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Amounts on reported tradelines matter for one portion of the revolving utilization calculation, and the number of revolving trades reporting a balance is a seperate calculation. There's also the aggregate revolving utilization which virtually everyone is familar with. FWIW I had a change from $3 to 73% balance report on a tradeline and my score didn't move at all, so I'm not surprised at your own findings on that. Others have suggested differently and my plan is to go get a silly $250 limit card and see if I can try to pin down if there are individual card utilization lines while keeping everything else fixed.
Amount of payment has been demonstrated not to factor into FICO; VantageScore does use a bunch of things that FICO doesn't, can't really pull any data from that other than to state they are different. All of the revolving utilization scorecard is instant-in-time as far as FICO goes. I've seen precisely one report of being bucketed where there was a 4 month lag between payment and score increase, but that's incredibly rare if it really existed at all. Everyone else's, whether they pay over time or pay lump sum, they get to the same point anecdotally.
Anyway for you if you're game: since it sounds like you have the 3B monitoring, just let $2 (reportedly some lenders zero out balances of $1, not tried that specifically but our purposes $1 vs $2 is irrelevant) report on every single revolving tradeline (cards and LOC's) on your report next month and watch your score change - you can fix it the very next month, but you'll get slapped likely to the tune of ~80-100 points on a FICO 8 score just for having a balance on all of your cards. I promise you it's a real thing in the model, and it would be interesting to see (Since we're starting to collect data points on it) how much you gain and lose as the cards report.
Closest I've seen to an 850 trying that was a ~798 at the time IIRC, went down to 720ish just from that experiment before fixing it next month for the expected complete recovery.
Hmm. Turns out my archives from last year already have this test in them.... (unintentionally).
I had pretty solid 850s for a chunk of 2014, including while 2 of 3 cards (and 2 of 2 AU cards) were reporting non-trivial dollar amounts (although low percentages).
But on 2014-05-18, briefly all cards did report a balance. And I dropped to 844 while all were reporting.
Recovered after it went back to 2 of 3. (Just in time to nuke it with the first of three new accounts...)
Food for thought -
I pulled out my copy of "Your Credit Score", 4th edition by Liz Weston and re-read the section: How Credit Scoring works. I had forgotten that classic Fico had 10 score cards and Fico 8 has 12. The effect of ones behavior on their score can be significantly impacted by the scorecard their profile is assigned.
Liz states on page 24 that: "If a credit history shows only positive information, the model takes into account the following [for what scorecard the profile is put in]"
1) The number of accounts {in the CR both open and closed} - in my case 12 (9 credit cards with 6 open, 1 charge card and 2 mortgage installment loans with 1 open.
2) Age of the accounts [average] - in my case 15 years, oldest 31 years
3) Age of youngest account - in my case 4 years
If a profile history shows a delinquency the model considers additional criteria in determining what scorecard the profile should be associated with.
Later in the chapter three consumer scenarios are presented to show how profile scores shift when they are evaluated using classic Fico and Fico 8. The scenarios compare two profiles each in the: high risk, thin file and mainstream consumer categories.
The mainstream consumer profiles for Isabel and Fred each have similar credit histories, no serious credit delinquency, 15 to 20 accounts and a classic Fico score of 725. Based on the Fico 8 model (per Liz) Isabel's score increases to 745 but Fred's drops to 705.
This is the paragraph I found interesting:
Compared to Fred isabel has lower balances and is using comparatively less of her available credit.She also has more credit card accounts on her credit report that show a balance. Combined, these two factors demonstrate that she is actively using her credit and is handling it responsibly.
Although you probably should not show a balance on 100% of your credit cards, the above example suggests using a significant percentage can actually be beneficial for a typical mainstream consumer. Unfortunately, classic Fico - still the primary model for mortgage loans.appears to be influenced in the opposite direction.
In May I posting balances on 5 of 6 credit cards (4.5% overall utilization) All balances paid in full. - I'll report back once I get an updated score on my June Discover card statement. My VantageScore 2.0 stayed at 990 for what it's worth.
*** Today I saw a couple posts where Fico 8 scrore dropped when 5 CC accounts reported balances - In one case 5 of 5 CC accounts, the other was 5 of 14 as I recall. Could the Fico 8 model include a count threshold for adding/subtracting points (as opposed to just % of accounts showing balances) - and could the count threshold be dependent upon the scorecard the profile is assigned to? ***
That's a rather sloppy analysis by the author pinning it on that without further information and it's not what people have found here or elsewhere. There's a lot more that goes into whether FICO 04 or FICO 8 is higher when run against an individual credit report. There's a non-trivial amount of useful information found here if you're curious and willing to do even minimal legwork.
Yes numbers could be score card dependent but that's a little unlikely with how bucketing works or at least we've seen it work. You have a limited number of open revolving trades, grab the data point, or look at JagerBomb's foreclosure thread where he disclosed his stats previously and his own balance tracking with FICO 04; would suggest the two of you were likely on identical scorecards before his housing crisis.
But test it yourself, 4/5 or 5/5 should still see a drop. How much off an 850 really depends on how much buffer an 850 has... but the near 800ish score to mid 720's did actually happen with $2 on 8/8 tradelines, and I assure you it was another pretty file.
@Thomas_Thumb wrote:Thanks,
Unfortunately one has to experience aging to get there.
Very true!
Happy to see Liz Weston mentioned. She's rock-solid and catapulted me into myFICO.
[But test it yourself, 4/5 or 5/5 should still see a drop. How much off an 850 really depends on how much buffer an 850 has... but the near 800ish score to mid 720's did actually happen with $2 on 8/8 tradelines, and I assure you it was another pretty file].
Based on IV's experience last year (see below) reporting 5 of 5 cards (instead of normal 4 of 5) dropped her score to 844 from 850 until going back to 4 of 5 reporting.
I posted balances in May on 4 of 5 CCs, 1 of 1 AU CC and 1 of 1 AMEX charge card - total 6 of 7. Usually I report a balance on 3 of 5, 1 of 1 and 0 of 1, respectively. So based on IV's experience (if count related) I would anticipate a 6 point drop on my June Fico 8 from DC. (threshold count vs % - ?)
Hmm. Turns out my archives from last year already have this test in them.... (unintentionally).
I had pretty solid 850s for a chunk of 2014, including while 2 of 3 cards (and 2 of 2 AU cards) were reporting non-trivial dollar amounts (although low percentages).
But on 2014-05-18, briefly all cards did report a balance. And I dropped to 844 while all were reporting.
Recovered after it went back to 2 of 3. (Just in time to nuke it with the first of three new accounts...)
Received my June statement from Discover card earlier today.Fico 8 score remained at 850.
I had 4 of 5 credit cards reporting "non trivial" balances and 1 of 1 charge cards reporting a non trivial balance on my TransUnion summary report dated 6/8/2015. Overall credit utilization was 3.5%. Remaining balance on 15 year mortgage is 45%. AAoA is 15 years, youngest 4 years & oldest 31 years. Always pay in full every month.
I guess the 5 card threshold hypothesis proved false. Perhaps showing a balance on 100% instead of 80% of credit cards at once would trigger a drop. Not sure that the charge card has an impact - AMEX terms are pay in full every month for the charge card. However, it might help with credit mix.
My single inquiry (on my EQ credit report only) reached 1 year age this June. I stopped using my charge card mid June and all but 2 credit cards (one being the AU card). I will pull a MyFICO 3B report end of August to see what the impact of the age off and reduction in cards used is on my Fico 04 score (particularly the EQ one).
@Thomas_Thumb wrote:Received my June statement from Discover card earlier today.Fico 8 score remained at 850.
I had 4 of 5 credit cards reporting "non trivial" balances and 1 of 1 charge cards reporting a non trivial balance on my TransUnion summary report dated 6/8/2015. Overall credit utilization was 3.5%. Remaining balance on 15 year mortgage is 45%. AAoA is 15 years, youngest 4 years & oldest 31 years. Always pay in full every month.
I guess the 5 card threshold hypothesis proved false. Perhaps showing a balance on 100% instead of 80% of credit cards at once would trigger a drop. Not sure that the charge card has an impact - AMEX terms are pay in full every month for the charge card. However, it might help with credit mix.
My single inquiry (on my EQ credit report only) reached 1 year age this June. I stopped using my charge card mid June and all but 2 credit cards (one being the AU card). I will pull a MyFICO 3B report end of August to see what the impact of the age off and reduction in cards used is on my Fico 04 score (particularly the EQ one).
If you want to see your score drop, you need to raise utilization. Simple number of cards reporting isn't going to do it for your file, it is too well aged, and covers too many tradelines to be influenced by number of cards alone.
Thanks for the update.
@Revelate wrote:
But test it yourself, 4/5 or 5/5 should still see a drop. How much off an 850 really depends on how much buffer an 850 has... but the near 800ish score to mid 720's did actually happen with $2 on 8/8 tradelines, and I assure you it was another pretty file.
Was there any comment on the age of the accounts? Were there several months of showing only 1 card reporting, then 8 of a sudden? I'm not doubting this happened, just looking for other perspective on what the file contains (or if it doesn't contain a long history) to make it so volatile.
While I don't have the longevity many here have and I certainly don't have the number of cards many have, I have been doing some anecdotal testing of my own on utilization and balances. I use EQ08 as it seems to be the only reliable reporter. I am a trained mathematician.
I know there have been some rumblings about "percentage of cards" with balances. Based upon the fact I only have three cards, I think I may "bust the threshold" as soon as I have 2 cards reporting balances and obviously reach 100% of cards with balances on 3.
Full disclosure: AAoA 8 years, Oldest account 18 years, 2 mortgages on different properties 8 & 10 years old. I have 3 federal tax liens and my scores are pretty dam stable no matter what I do that's positive. I suspect I am at the top of a bucket or score card or whatever you want to call it. I can't ever break 740 on EQ or EX, I can get to 743 on TU but never higher. Liens to come off end of year.
I only have 3 cards
Card 1 19400
Card 2 8250
Card 3 13100
Two of my cards report same day, so this makes for great testing, my third card reports almost 2 weeks later. There is no online option to change the payment date on that card or I would have perfect testing capability. Or I could change the other two, but I haven't.
Test one 9% utilization test
Card 1 balance of 3600 -> 2800
Card 2 balance of 0 -> 800
Card 3 Balance of 0
EQ 08 733 -> 730
Test two
Card 1 balance of 2800 -> 3600
Card 2 balance of 800 -> 0
Card 3 Balance of 0
EQ 08 730 -> 734
Test three
Test one 9% utilization test
Card 1 balance of 3600 -> 2000
Card 2 balance of 0 -> 800
Card 3 Balance of 0 -> 800
EQ 08 734 -> 735 when only two cards report and total utilization falsely is 6% -> 719 when 3 cards report (Ouch)
Test four
Test one 9% utilization test
Card 1 balance of 2000 -> 3600
Card 2 balance of 800 -> 0
Card 3 Balance of 800 -> 0
EQ 08 719 -> 723 when cards 1 and 3 report and total utilization is a false 11% -> 731 when all 3 cards report
Testing done over a 4 month period, no other changes, obviously aging plays a small factor. I wish I had made all 3 reporting dates the same to provide better testing, but maybe this will help some people. In the scheme of things, not a big deal, but if you are hovering around threshold scores, it could make a difference.