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Is there a delay between a significant drop in points, and the credit card statement (which I think has caused the points drop) posting to my report?
I track my FICO scores daily, through Experian. I closely monitor all the changes on my account and am able to isolate the changes that cause changes to my scores.
Today, I logged on, to notice significant point drops in my Experian Fico scores. The drops ranged from 5 points to 13 points. The biggest drop was in my EX Fico Auto 8, which saw a 13 point drop. I assumed it was because one of my credit cards had posted with an increased balance (going from 12% UTIL to 13% UTIL, but overall UTIL remaining steady at 14%). However, when I checked that credit card account on my Experian report, it is still showing with last months balance.
So, is it possible for the new increased balance to not be showing yet on my credit file, but, it has still caused the points drop?
In addition to this, even though there was an increased balance, as I did not pass any major UTIL thresholds, is it normal to see points drops such as this?
There have been no other changes on my report that could have caused this. No new enquiries.
Starting FICO 8s | 09/2017: EX 641 ✦ EQ 634 ✦ TU 647![]()
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I don't have any old closed accounts, so, it is not that.
The only thing that has happened since yesterday is my last payment to my instalment loan posted to my report. That took my loan balance from 80% to 75%.
The credit card with the increased balance should post to my report today or tomorrow. If there is a further reduction in points, then, I will know the reduction today was not caused by that.
12% to 13% is not an known threshold that I have seen anywhere. There is some post about thresholds below 8.9% on some bureau scores but I have not see anything about thresholds between 8.9% and 28.9%.
TLDR; you should not see any score change if that is the only factor.
@Anonymous wrote:The credit card with the increased balance should post to my report today or tomorrow. If there is a further reduction in points, then, I will know the reduction today was not caused by that.
Regardless of whether or not there is a further reduction of points once your balances update -- the points lost today were not due to balances not yet reported to Experian. It doesn't work that way. Your scores respond immediately to information as it is reported/updated on your credit reports.., not before, not after.
Once your increased util reports, there should not be a loss in points for increasing from 12-13%, as Morpho explained. Exceptions for such a minor aggregate util increase, without crossing any of the known utilization scoring thresholds (8.9%, 28.9%, 48.9%, 68.9%, 88.9%). causing a decrease in scores is if the individual utilization on a single card increased over 28.9%, while your overall (aggregate) util only increased 1%; or if you lost a few points due to an increased number of cards reporting a balances.
It's possible for your scores to change without known reason... FICO is a comparison algorithm that scores your profile against the similar profiles of those on the same scorecard. Because of that, your scores may change without an obvious - or known to us - reason.
Starting FICO 8s | 09/2017: EX 641 ✦ EQ 634 ✦ TU 647![]()
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@Anonymous wrote:I don't have any old closed accounts, so, it is not that.
The only thing that has happened since yesterday is my last payment to my instalment loan posted to my report. That took my loan balance from 80% to 75%.
I don't believe this would cause a decrease in score. If you paid the loan off completely, then yes.
Starting FICO 8s | 09/2017: EX 641 ✦ EQ 634 ✦ TU 647![]()
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@thornback wrote:
It's possible for your scores to change without known reason... FICO is a comparison algorithm that scores your profile against the similar profiles of those on the same scorecard. Because of that, your scores may change without an obvious - or known to us - reason.
Just one final question. I do not believe this to be the case but a friend swears it happens. I was credit checked for a mortgage on 11th November. All 3 agencies were checked and I got an inquiry on all 3. I 'passed' and was offered the mortgage. Due to utter incompetence by the mortgage company and their incessant requests for 19th century security measures, the mortgage has not happened yet. My friend swears on his life that if you are credit checked in this way and then there is no subsequent account opened, the credit reference bureaus assume you were declined for the mortgage and your points are reduced. Please tell me this is complete nonsense. I would like nothing more than to smugly tell my know-it-all friend that he is talking garbage. :-)
@Anonymous wrote:
@thornback wrote:
It's possible for your scores to change without known reason... FICO is a comparison algorithm that scores your profile against the similar profiles of those on the same scorecard. Because of that, your scores may change without an obvious - or known to us - reason.
Just one final question. I do not believe this to be the case but a friend swears it happens. I was credit checked for a mortgage on 11th November. All 3 agencies were checked and I got an inquiry on all 3. I 'passed' and was offered the mortgage. Due to utter incompetence by the mortgage company and their incessant requests for 19th century security measures, the mortgage has not happened yet. My friend swears on his life that if you are credit checked in this way and then there is no subsequent account opened, the credit reference bureaus assume you were declined for the mortgage and your points are reduced. Please tell me this is complete nonsense. I would like nothing more than to smugly tell my know-it-all friend that he is talking garbage. :-)
Nope. Your buddy is mistaken. If this were the case --everyone on this forum would be petrified to app for anything without a solid pre-approval for fear of being denied and thus dinged for more than just the inquiry alone. There is zero evidence to support this notion. So feel free to go back and tell your buddy to kick rocks..
That said, your elaboration on your buddy's thought process seems to have, inadvertantly, given us some insight into why your scores decreased. You never mentioned your mortgage shopping on 11/11 -- you specifically said, "no new inquiries"... which is an understandable statement under normal circumstances -- but not with mortgages / loans...
It was 32 days between 11/11 and 12/13 - when you noticed the scores decreased... just about how long it takes FICO to finally penalize you for mortgage inquiries... they wait 30 days to allow for 'rate shopping' so not to affect your scores during that time your reports are being evaluated by multiple lenders. After 30 days.. they assume you're finished and will then weigh the inquiries in your score calculation.
Read below from myFICO (https://www.myfico.com/credit-education/credit-reports/credit-checks-and-inquiries):
*Edited to include screenshot
Starting FICO 8s | 09/2017: EX 641 ✦ EQ 634 ✦ TU 647![]()
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@thornback wrote:
Nope. Your buddy is mistaken. If this were the case --everyone on this forum would be petrified to app for anything without a solid pre-approval for fear of being denied and thus dinged for more than just the inquiry alone. There is zero evidence to support this notion. So feel free to go back and tell your buddy to kick rocks..![]()
That said, your elaboration on your buddy's thought process seems to have, inadvertantly, given us some insight into why your scores decreased. You never mentioned your mortgage shopping on 11/11 -- you specifically said, "no new inquiries"... which is an understandable statement under normal circumstances -- but not with mortgages / loans...
It was 32 days between 11/11 and 12/13 - when you noticed the scores decreased... just about how long it takes FICO to finally penalize you for mortgage inquiries... they wait 30 days to allow for 'rate shopping' so not to affect your scores during that time your reports are being evaluated by multiple lenders. After 30 days.. they assume you're finished and will then weigh the inquiries in your score calculation.
At this precise moment in time, I am so happy, I could scream! The sheer frustration of not knowing why the points deduction had happened was playing havoc with me! Thank you for getting to the bottom of it! Even though the deduction is still annoying, the fact that I know why it happened has allowed my sense of equilibrium to return. If I can understand something then I can deal with it. The world has returned to being a logical place again! :-)
You are absolutely correct - I had no idea that the inquiry for the mortgage was relevant to the question. I always assumed that points deductions happened as soon as the inquiry showed. I live and learn and happy to take full responsibility for the ommission.