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Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop

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SteelCityPride
Valued Member

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop

OP could've possibly been rebucketed with AOOA hitting the 3 year mark. My scores dropped almost 40 points across all CRA the beginning of February and after having no noticeable differences read some posts here stating that could possibly be a threshold at 3 years? 

Jan. 2017 Fico 8 - low 500's
Message 31 of 39
Revelate
Moderator Emeritus

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop


@SteelCityPride wrote:

OP could've possibly been rebucketed with AOOA hitting the 3 year mark. My scores dropped almost 40 points across all CRA the beginning of February and after having no noticeable differences read some posts here stating that could possibly be a threshold at 3 years? 


This is actually what I was going to ask: whether the oldest account ticked over 3 years or not for February?

 

We had a few datapoints but nothing really nailed down on that, we are confident that at some point one transitions out of clean new file scorecard(s) to clean mature file scorecards and 3 years appeared to be that line for AOOA, though might be AOORA too, that we're less sure of but it appears to be AOYRA for FICO 8 and as such that might be a thing too.




        
Message 32 of 39
SouthJamaica
Mega Contributor

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop


@AllZero wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

@blindambition wrote:

I'd say that's definitely it. If you had six revolvers, might not have happened. You were hit for over 50%.


I'll reduce it to two as most of my billing cycles are coming up and see what happens. I've been waiting to apply for the CSP so that will make any changes unclear but I was unaware of this 50% rule.


IIRC, if it matters, whenever you pay Chase to zero, they will automatically report.


1. Since you have 3/6 reported balances it's not the all zero penalty.

2. IMHO going from 2/6  to 3/6 reported balances would not cost you ANY points in FICO 8.

3. I don't see you moving to a different scorecard. If that were going to happen based on aging of your oldest account it would have happened on the 1st of the month.

4. A CLI wouldn't cost you points.

 

So IMHO it's something you haven't observed yet. If you're on experian.com you need to closely examine the report from the day of the change and the report from the day before, and compare to find out what's different between the 2 days reports.


Total revolving limits 568220 (504020 reporting) FICO 8: EQ 689 TU 691 EX 682




Message 33 of 39
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop


@SouthJamaica wrote:

@AllZero wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

@blindambition wrote:

I'd say that's definitely it. If you had six revolvers, might not have happened. You were hit for over 50%.


I'll reduce it to two as most of my billing cycles are coming up and see what happens. I've been waiting to apply for the CSP so that will make any changes unclear but I was unaware of this 50% rule.


IIRC, if it matters, whenever you pay Chase to zero, they will automatically report.


1. Since you have 3/6 reported balances it's not the all zero penalty.

2. IMHO going from 2/6  to 3/6 reported balances would not cost you ANY points in FICO 8.

3. I don't see you moving to a different scorecard. If that were going to happen based on aging of your oldest account it would have happened on the 1st of the month.

4. A CLI wouldn't cost you points.

 

So IMHO it's something you haven't observed yet. If you're on experian.com you need to closely examine the report from the day of the change and the report from the day before, and compare to find out what's different between the 2 days reports.


I'm happy to share, but I'm at the point where I don't know what else to look for. I've checked for inquries, missed payment, utilizations, public records, etc. There are no new accounts or inquries. There is no public records or collections.

One idea I had was perhaps it took Experian a long time to show my Amex Gold. I've always used Wells Fargo and/or Amex to see my EX score, and only singed up for Experian when I noticed the huge drop. I got the Gold in Sep-2019, and ever since I've had it, my EX Fico 8 has been 759 (As viewed on the Amex website). Is there a way to view old data from months before?

Message 34 of 39
SouthJamaica
Mega Contributor

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop


@Anonymous wrote:

@SouthJamaica wrote:

@AllZero wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

@blindambition wrote:

I'd say that's definitely it. If you had six revolvers, might not have happened. You were hit for over 50%.


I'll reduce it to two as most of my billing cycles are coming up and see what happens. I've been waiting to apply for the CSP so that will make any changes unclear but I was unaware of this 50% rule.


IIRC, if it matters, whenever you pay Chase to zero, they will automatically report.


1. Since you have 3/6 reported balances it's not the all zero penalty.

2. IMHO going from 2/6  to 3/6 reported balances would not cost you ANY points in FICO 8.

3. I don't see you moving to a different scorecard. If that were going to happen based on aging of your oldest account it would have happened on the 1st of the month.

4. A CLI wouldn't cost you points.

 

So IMHO it's something you haven't observed yet. If you're on experian.com you need to closely examine the report from the day of the change and the report from the day before, and compare to find out what's different between the 2 days reports.


I'm happy to share, but I'm at the point where I don't know what else to look for. I've checked for inquries, missed payment, utilizations, public records, etc. There are no new accounts or inquries. There is no public records or collections.

One idea I had was perhaps it took Experian a long time to show my Amex Gold. I've always used Wells Fargo and/or Amex to see my EX score, and only singed up for Experian when I noticed the huge drop. I got the Gold in Sep-2019, and ever since I've had it, my EX Fico 8 has been 759 (As viewed on the Amex website). Is there a way to view old data from months before?


If you were comparing your experian.com reports from the day of the change and the day before, as I suggested,  you wouldn't have any problem discerning whether or not your Amex Gold suddenly showed up or not. You would know for certain.

 

I don't know how to view data from the day before you signed up; as far as I know the only reports that would be available to you are the reports going forward. The reports would not even exist, because they would not have been pulled.

 

Amex is reputed to wait 1 1/2 months to 2 months for a new account to report, but I don't see why the addition of 1 charge card would cost 15 points. I guess it's possible.

 

Since you have no access to the reports, I guess we'll never know.

 

 


Total revolving limits 568220 (504020 reporting) FICO 8: EQ 689 TU 691 EX 682




Message 35 of 39
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop

UPDATE:

Luckily when the initial drop happened I was near the end of 3 billing cycles so I was able to test the idea that I had too many cards reporting a balance. Here is how my score changed. 

 

Feb-18: Score decreased from 759 to 744

Mar-1: Score increased to 748 

Mar-3: Score increased to 753 

Mar-5: Score increased to 755

 

Mar-1: No changes where found on my report, but my MSGCU Visa BC closes at the end of each month. The balance wasn't updated although it didn't change from $0

Mar-3: Discover balance was updated, and remained the same as the previous BC at $0

Mar-5: Redcard balance was updated and decreased from $48 to $0

 

Also, on Mar-1, the AoOA increased to 3 years 1 mo. and AAoA increased to 1 year 9 mo. There was another hypothesis that the 3 AoOA was the reason to my score dropping, but because the score increased as more accounts reported, I feel as though the percent accounts reporting a balance hypothesis fits better. I find it interesting my score almost fully recovered in such a short period of time. Unfortunately, my TU and EQ scores have not updated with the new account balances, although I know they both were affected. Specifically TU dropped from 770 to 751 which is mad silly. 

 

Thanks to everyone who helped me try to solve this mystery. It is up to you if you feel this data is conclusive, but I will admit I'm not too sure. Also, I just got my CSP today so I guess we may never know...

Message 36 of 39
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop

Thanks for the DP's and congrats again on your new card! 👍

Message 37 of 39
donkort
Valued Contributor

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop

Excellente!

FICO 8: EQ 810; TU 816; EX 822 as of 7/5/2022
Message 38 of 39
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Experian Fico 8 15 Point Drop

OP, it’s easy to tell just manipulate the number of revolvers with a balance over 50% and then under 50% and see if you get the point swing.
Message 39 of 39
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