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Score Increase Over Time

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Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Score Increase Over Time

To the best of my knowledge, there is absolutely no difference between a secured card verses an unsecured card with respect to FICO scoring.

Message 11 of 47
jamie123
Valued Contributor

Re: Score Increase Over Time


@Anonymous wrote:

@Anonymous wrote:

I agree with BBS and I have a dirty profile!

 

My first 3 credit cards were of course free FICO boosts just for having 1, 2 or 3 revolvers.  #4 hurt me for 2 months, maybe 3.  #5 and 6 hurt me for 3 months or so, maybe 2. 


Slightly related, but I’m an AU on three Chase FUs as well as a secured card in my own name. Since having less than half your cards show a balance with at least three cards is best, does being an AU and having secured cards count the same towards scoring as unsecured cards? Yes. Including the score boost you mentioned? Yes.

 

Edit: is it true that AUs do not hold as much weight as your own cards? Only in a manual credit review like you would have appliying for a mortgage. Having AUs when applying for a mortgage can (Unless you are married to the AU card holder.) put questions into the lender's mind and they might discount your score. And do the AUs count the same as normal cards in number of cards with a balance for things like AZEO in that section of scoring? Yes, AU cards count exactly the same as your cards in all FICO calculations.


There was a time a few years ago that saw the MAJOR abuse of AU cards. People that had high scores and really old credit cards were selling the right to become an AU on their card. They wouldn't actually give you a card but would add you to their account and keep the card in their possesion. Just think how much you could juice your scores by adding a couple of 30 year old cards with perfect payment history to your reports! Yeah...They cracked down on that and now AUs must live at the same address and should actually be related to each other or else they can put a fraud warning on the account.


Starting Score: EQ 653 6/21/12
Current Score: EQ 817 3/10/20 - EX 820 3/13/20 - TU 825 3/03/20
Message 12 of 47
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Score Increase Over Time

I am AU on one of my wife's credit cards but the card is NOT included in my Fico 8 card count. Also, the CL is not included in my aggregate revolving CL and the balance is not included in my aggregate balance.

 

It is worth noting, the card IS included in utilization and card count by the older Fico 4 and Fico 98 models. Other posters with primary account holders using the same address have reported AU cards not counting on Fico 8 as well. So even household members may be subject to anti-abuse scrutiny. In my case, it might relate to AU inactivity.

 

My AU account is over 20 years old. Initially I had an AU card which I used periodically for household purchases. However, when the card was re-issued, about 15 years ago, I never activated it (misplaced card). A few years back DW was sent a replacement card with a different # to safeguard against fraud from a data breach. This time I did not receive a replacement AU card - probably because my prior AU card had never been activated.

 

As mentioned above, my guess is Fico 8 may be ignoring some AU accounts that have inactive status even when the AU account shows as open on credit reports. For whatever the reason, some of us do have AU cards not recognized in Fico 8.

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 13 of 47
NRB525
Super Contributor

Re: Score Increase Over Time


@Anonymous wrote:

 

 

One thing that's important to consider, though, is that "trended data" may be a consideration.  It's believed that creditors in the near future (next couple of years) could start having the ability to look back as much as 2 years at your utilization.  For all we know, this data could be being collected now even if it isn't used yet.  That said, say 2 years from now trended data IS being used commonly.  Going back to the illustration above, if the person with 90% utilization kept it at that level for 1 year as opposed to someone that just spiked their utilization to 90% for 1 month and then brought it back to 1%, the person with a full year of 90% utilization would be much more adversely looked upon upon a manual review [of trended data] since it would suggest they were a far greater risk for a far longer period of time.  Both of their scores could still be 750 still, assuming both were back at 1% utilization, but a quick look at trended data would paint quite a different picture of these two individuals.


It is important to understand the amount of debt in that 90% figure. 90% of $500 is merely showing solid use of an available small card. As long as that is paid off, and income is solid, the next lender is likely to be very happy to extend credit. Current actual FICO score will be lower that it otherwise could be, with 90% utilization, but that can be fixed with a $300 payment.

 

90% of a $50,000 line (or in my case 80$ of over $100k) is a different story, from a risk perspective. It takes longer to pay down from that level and one is not likely to be extended much more credit. So even in this case, score really doesn't matter much, it's the debt level that really matters.

 

Trended Data by itself is no reason to avoid showing balances on card statements. If a borrower shows usage over time, and the ability to pay those balances down, that is looked upon as a good customer for the bank. There is a risk, of course, but lending is where the bank takes on a certain amount of risk, looking for interest or swipe fees as a revenue source. A long history of a borrower dealing with large balances, is very attractive to a lender.

High Bal Jan 2009 $116k on $146k limits 80% Util.
Oct 2014 $46k on $127k 36% util EQ 722 TU 727 EX 727
April 2018 $18k on $344k 5% util EQ 806 TU 810 EX 812
Jan 2019 $7.6k on $360k EQ 832 TU 839 EX 831
March 2021 $33k on $312k EQ 796 TU 798 EX 801
May 2021 Paid all Installments and Mortgages, one new Mortgage EQ 761 TY 774 EX 777
April 2022 EQ=811 TU=807 EX=805 - TU VS 3.0 765
Message 14 of 47
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Score Increase Over Time

While I agree with what you're saying above NRB525, I still think it's all relative.  While a larger credit line at equal utilization [relative to a small credit line] definitely presents a greater risk to the lender in terms of dollars, the percentage here still plays a role and says something about the borrower.

 

In the language discussed so far, not enough information was given really.  90% utilization on a small limit (say, $500) card every month for 1 year could be a good thing or a bad thing.  If the card holder is making a $400-$450 payment each month, I'd say it's not a bad thing and as you suggested it just shows they're using their card heavily.  Chances are though IMO that this example wouldn't really work, as the above behavior would almost certainly stimulate an auto-CLI from the lender.  Conversely, if they are just letting a $450 balance sit on the card though and are just paying the minimum payment every month, perhaps throwing a $10-$20 swipe on it each month as well, even though the limit (and debt) is low, it says something pretty profound about the financial behavior and nature of this individual.  Trended data would showcase this and IMO regardless of the small level of debt (in dollars) it is a pretty poor look upon a MR.

Message 15 of 47
Thomas_Thumb
Senior Contributor

Re: Score Increase Over Time


@Anonymous wrote:

While I agree with what you're saying above NRB525, I still think it's all relative.  While a larger credit line at equal utilization [relative to a small credit line] definitely presents a greater risk to the lender in terms of dollars, the percentage here still plays a role and says something about the borrower.

 

In the language discussed so far, not enough information was given really.  90% utilization on a small limit (say, $500) card every month for 1 year could be a good thing or a bad thing.  If the card holder is making a $400-$450 payment each month, I'd say it's not a bad thing and as you suggested it just shows they're using their card heavily.  Chances are though IMO that this example wouldn't really work, as the above behavior would almost certainly stimulate an auto-CLI from the lender.  Conversely, if they are just letting a $450 balance sit on the card though and are just paying the minimum payment every month, perhaps throwing a $10-$20 swipe on it each month as well, even though the limit (and debt) is low, it says something pretty profound about the financial behavior and nature of this individual.  Trended data would showcase this and IMO regardless of the small level of debt (in dollars) it is a pretty poor look upon a MR.


IMO - useful trended data analysis needs to segment according to transactor/revolver behavior as a 1st step. If one is a transactor reported balance/utilization is a non factor and should be ignored - like is done on a true charge card. From a risk perspective, a PIF before statement cuts is no different than a PIF after statement cuts given the same monthly charges in either case. Reported utilization is more meaningful for as a risk factor for revolvers.

 

I do agree that total monthly charges (either in absolute terms or as a % of CL) can help detect increased risk levels if trended even for transactors. As an example, a month over month increase in total spend (or aggregate utilization %) over the past 6 months suggests someone may be approaching a spend level that cannot be maintained before a subsequent late payment or default occurs. This metric would be most useful if it were to be based on total charges during a month - not just what is allowed to report on a statement as a balance.

Fico 9: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 8: .......EQ 850 TU 850 EX 850
Fico 4 .....:. EQ 809 TU 823 EX 830 EX Fico 98: 842
Fico 8 BC:. EQ 892 TU 900 EX 900
Fico 8 AU:. EQ 887 TU 897 EX 899
Fico 4 BC:. EQ 826 TU 858, EX Fico 98 BC: 870
Fico 4 AU:. EQ 831 TU 872, EX Fico 98 AU: 861
VS 3.0:...... EQ 835 TU 835 EX 835
CBIS: ........EQ LN Auto 940 EQ LN Home 870 TU Auto 902 TU Home 950
Message 16 of 47
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Score Increase Over Time

Having cards report high individual utilizations can put many people at risk of adverse action by creditors.  Note that this is not just the creditor for the card you are maxxing out but also other other creditors, since they can see your reports and scores each month as well. 

 

I can't count the number of aggrieved people who write in to the forums demanding an explanation of why Citi closed their card when they "had never missed a payment" on the Citi card -- though by the second or third post it becomes clear that he had one or more cards from other issuers maxxed out.

 

Some factors sharply reduce this risk, such as having a low overall utilization, a clean profile (no derogs), and some significant payment history; and a FICO above 720.  A person for whom all those things are true can likely allow individual cards report high utilizations (even for extend periods of time) without risk of AA.

 

As far as trended data, we simply can't say for sure today how it will play out.  Some people have reported that many CC issuers stopped reporting their history of monthly payments in 2016.  If that is true, and it remains true in 2018 and onwards, then it won't be possible for a creditor using TD to detect whether a person pays his CC statements in full each month.  (Such people are called Transactors.)  But if we do move into a world where detecting Transactors is possible, there's no question that loan issuers will care about that a lot.  It's been proven that people who do not PIF are statistically (as a group) far riskier to the lender than those who do not.  That's why Fannie Mae added a module to its Desktop Underwriter tool that attempts to detect whether a prospective borrower is a transactor.

 

I plan to pull all three of my credit reports at ACR early next year to see which of them are reporting the month-by-month history of all my payments. 

Message 17 of 47
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Score Increase Over Time

It's a huge frustration because (most) accounts only report monthly.

 

I just got jammed into a major FICO drop this month when my brand new QS1 reported way earlier than I had expected.  I put 95% utilization on, planning to just PIF before the first statement in October.  Instead, the first statement was September and it shows 95% utilization on a $500 toy limit and my scores immediately plunged over that one account.  PIF'd immediately but of course now I have to wait until October for the next statement to reflect.

 

I'm not seeking credit at all, but the FICO decrease really hurt my rebuilding scores significantly, and I am hoping for Discover to graduate in November so I definitely want to get it reporting correctly and truthfully.

Message 18 of 47
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Score Increase Over Time

ABCD, can you quantify "plunged" when discussing your score drop relatated to maxing out one card?  I recently brought one card for the first time ever above 50% utilization on my profile and my two clean scores dropped by probably 5-8 points each and my dirty score stayed put.

Message 19 of 47
Anonymous
Not applicable

Re: Score Increase Over Time


@Thomas_Thumb wrote:


IMO - useful trended data analysis needs to segment according to transactor/revolver behavior as a 1st step. If one is a transactor reported balance/utilization is a non factor and should be ignored - like is done on a true charge card. From a risk perspective, a PIF before statement cuts is no different than a PIF after statement cuts given the same monthly charges in either case. Reported utilization is more meaningful for as a risk factor for revolvers.

 

I do agree that total monthly charges (either in absolute terms or as a % of CL) can help detect increased risk levels if trended even for transactors. As an example, a month over month increase in total spend (or aggregate utilization %) over the past 6 months suggests someone may be approaching a spend level that cannot be maintained before a subsequent late payment or default occurs. This metric would be most useful if it were to be based on total charges during a month - not just what is allowed to report on a statement as a balance.


So TT, in my above example of the person reporting 90% utilization on a $500 limit card month after month where the first person is making a $450/mo payment (and running the limit back up over the next cycle) and the second person is simply leaving that balance on there, just making the minimum payment, wouldn't trended data result in these behaviors being viewed very differently?  I mean, under a MR wouldn't the person making the large monthly payments be seen as far less of a risk than the person carrying the balance, even though it's a toy limit card?  This is a situation where I feel the utilization percentage, not the dollar amount, plays a significant role.

Message 20 of 47
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